Monday 30 June 2014

NeoWave Analysis

Weekly wave chart

Conclusions:
1.
From the end of wave (B), a “Double Extension Impulse” pattern seems to be unfolding as wave (C) which is a part of larger Zigzag pattern.

2.
Currently, the Nifty cash may be in wave (v) which seems to be Terminal Impulse due to overlapping between waves 2 and 4.

3.
It is still not clear that wave 4 is completed or not. But in any case, wave 4 should not fall below 7401 and may conclude somewhere between 7465 and 7401. The breach below 7401 will make the Terminal Impulse pattern doubtful.

4.
The conclusion of wave 4 will make Nifty cash to move upwards as wave 5. The maximum upwards level that can be reached by wave 5 is 7905 whereas the minimum requirement is breach of 1-3 line.

5.
For longs, stop loss can be placed below 7400 of Nifty cash.

Daily wave chart

Conclusions:
1.
The Nifty cash seems to be unfolding “1st wave extended Terminal Impulse” pattern.

2.
It is still not clear that wave 4 is completed at 7441.60 as Contracting Triangle or still going on as a Diametric.

3.
On 30th June 2014 (next Monday), if Nifty cash crosses above 7540 without crossing below 7480 then it is sure that wave 4 got completed at 7441.60. Else, if index crosses below 7480 without crossing above 7540 then wave 4 is still unfolding.

4.
If wave 4 is completed at 7441.60 (1st scenario in point 4 above) then index is expected to move up as wave 5 and should cross above 1-3 trend line in next two weeks. The minimum target thus is around 7800 plus levels.

5.
If wave 4 is still not complete (2nd scenario in point 4 above) then index may fall till 7440 levels (or more but not below 7401 in any case) and thereafter wave 5 may start. The wave 5 in this case is again expected to cross above 1-3 trend line.

6.
One can buy Nifty futures, if Nifty cash crosses above 7540 with stop loss below 7480 for minimum target of 7800 in next two weeks.

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1 comment:

  1. How about this?

    Wave 4 should be smaller than Wave 2. according to that rule, wave 4 seems to complete where you have written '4?' first. And wave 5 is in progress however, wave 5 should not brake 2-4 trend line unless wave 5 is elongate flat so if we take that scenario, wave b of elongate flat is in progress. It should end near where Wave 4 i.e 7480 and after that wave c of wave 5 will start which takes approx. same time as wave a + wave b.

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