Thursday 3 November 2016

Currency Option Strategy

OPTION STRATEGY: (NOV) SELL USDINR 67CE & PE / BUY USDINR 66.5PE & USDINR 67.5CE TGT 0.05 SL 0.50 CMP 0.36


Butterfly OPTION STRATEGY: (NOV)

SELL USDINR 67CE & 67PE

BUY USDINR 66.5PE

Buy USDINR 67.5CE

TGT 0.05 SL 0.50 CMP 0.36



WHAT EVER YOU EARN FROM MY CALLS PLEASE GIVE 10% PROFIT'S FOOD TO COWS AND DOGS HELP THM GOD WILL HELP YOU-!!!

Monday 17 October 2016

POWER OF PHARMA !!


WHAT EVER YOU EARN FROM MY CALLS PLEASE GIVE 10% PROFIT'S FOOD TO COWS AND DOGS HELP THM GOD WILL HELP YOU-!!!

*Here are some very interesting facts about Sensex*


WHAT EVER YOU EARN FROM MY CALLS PLEASE GIVE 10% PROFIT'S FOOD TO COWS AND DOGS HELP THM GOD WILL HELP YOU-!!!

COMMODITY UPDATES

GOLD

SO MUCH UP AND DOWNS
NOW WHAT NEXT???
SUSTAIN ABOVE 29901 WILL TAKE IT TOWARDS 30199-30299
BREAK BELOW 29299 AND SUSTAIN THEN WE ARE GOING TOWARDS 28888

SILVER
SO MUCH UP AND DOWNS
NOW WHAT NEXT???
SUSTAIN ABOVE 42601CHANDI HI CHANDI HAHAHA I MEAN TO SAY 43499
SUSTAIN BELOW 40999 WILL TAKE IT TOWARDS 40001

CRUDE 
IF DONT CROSS 3471-3501 THEN WE ARE HEDGING TOWARDS 3279-3251

NATURAL GAS
AS LONG AS 210 CLOSING BASIS HOLD ITS HEDGING TOWARDS 229-239

IF ANYONE ELSE WANT TO KNW ABOUT ANY OTHER COMMODITY FEEL FREE TO MAIL ME I WILL SEND LEVELS :)

WHAT EVER YOU EARN FROM MY CALLS PLEASE GIVE 10% PROFIT'S FOOD TO COWS AND DOGS HELP THM GOD WILL HELP YOU-!!!

NIFTY SPOT UPDATE

AS SAID IN LAST POST SELL WITH SL OF 8725 NIFTY DRAGGED DOWN TILL 8580 NOW WHAT NEXT???

FIRST OF ALL MODIFY YOUR SL NOW AT 8700 SPOT

AND IN NEXT WEEK IF BREAK BELOW 8530 WITHOUT CROSSING 8645 THEN SHORT ONE MORE PART AND KEEP SL OF 8645 IN ALL SHORTS.

ALSO BOOK 50% POSITION AT 8480 AND HOLD FOR POSITIONAL TGT OF 8288

NOWADAYS CLIENTS STUDENTS EVERYONE BECAME EDUCATIVE SO ALL SAYING 8500 IS BAIS SUPPORT HAHAHAH LET ME TELL YOU HERE THEY ALL ARE RIGHT IF BREAK 8515 AND CLOSE BELOW IT THEN WE ARE HEDGING TOWARDS 8200-8150 LEVELS.

DONT BREAK THAT LEVELS AND HOLD AND SUSTAIN ABOVE IT WILL TAKE MKT TOWARDS 9200-9400 TILL DECEMBER END

ALL POSITIONAL SHORTS ARE WAITING FOR 8900 TO CROSS THEN ONLY MKT WILL COMEINTO FULL BULL ZONE.

HOPE U LIKING THE VIEW SHARE AND CARE :)

WHAT EVER YOU EARN FROM MY CALLS PLEASE GIVE 10% PROFIT'S FOOD TO COWS AND DOGS HELP THM GOD WILL HELP YOU-!!!

Tuesday 4 October 2016

UPDATE ON SPOT NIFTY

4TH OCT 2016
AS WE MENTIONED ON MONDAY TO HOLD WTH SL OF 8671 ?????SL HITED TODAY POSITION SQURED  IN 14 POINTS PROFIT OVER ALL.AND ALSO MENTIONED ABOVE 8758 IT WILL BECOME BULLISH BUT IT DIDNT MOVD THAT WAY ABOVE 8758 LIKE WE CAN THINK NOW IT BECAME BULLISH SO STILL WE CAN SEE FALL IF 8900 IS NOT CROSSED BEFORE 7TH OCT 2016.
BUT DONT DO HURRY IN SHORTING.
LET MARKET BREAK 8725 AND THEN ENTER SHORTS WITH SL OF HIGH OF 6TH OCT 2016 TARGET WILL BE SAME 8288 WILL COVER HALF QTY AROUND 8641.
THANKS

WHAT EVER YOU EARN FROM MY CALLS PLEASE GIVE 10% PROFIT'S FOOD TO COWS AND DOGS HELP THM GOD WILL HELP YOU-!!!

Monday 3 October 2016

NIFTY SPOT VIEW

LAST WEEK AS SAID SELL BELOW 8680 IT BROKEN VERY FAST I DONT THINK SO ANY ONE GOT CHANCE TO SELL....STILL AS OUR VIEW OF A SELL WILL MAINTAIN THAT ONLY.
SO WHO SOLD THAT TIME SHOULD MODIFY SL AT 8680 ONLY ON OUR COST SUPPOSE IF NIFTY OPEN ABOVE 8680 THEN SL SHOULD BE 8711 AND THOSE WHO ARE SELLING FRESH NIFTY ON HIGHER LEVELS WILL HAVE TO MAINTAIN SL OF 8758.
IF NIFTY BREACH BELOW 8514 THEN WE ARE HEDGING TOWARDS 8288. 
MONTHLY CROSS ABOVE 8971 WILL TAKE NIFTY TOWARDS 9199 IN OCT MONTH.
SO FOR THE MONTH NOW TWO LEVELS TO WATCH 8514 AND 8971 BREACH BELOW OR BREAK ABOVE WILL GIVE YOU 300 POINTS EASILY.
The breach of 8514 during October 2016 may bring down index to minimum of 8281
If Impulsive then the index should not move above 8711 (approximately 61.8% with leeway), and if Corrective then the maximum upside is at 8758 (approximately 81%). The anticipated down side move will get negated if 8758 is breached decisively on upside.
THANKS :) 


WHAT EVER YOU EARN FROM MY CALLS PLEASE GIVE 10% PROFIT'S FOOD TO COWS AND DOGS HELP THM GOD WILL HELP YOU-!!!

Wednesday 28 September 2016

Introduction of Options in Commodity Derivatives Market

SEPTEMBER 27, 2016 SPOT NIFTY VIEW


SPOT NIFTY CURRENTLY TRADING AT 8750 MARKET BROKEN FROM HIGHER LEVELS SOME THINKING SELLING IS GOING ON SOME THINKING PROFIT BOOKING IS THE REASON HAHAHA DONT FIND THE REASONS IN MARKET JUST FOLLOW THE TREND AS SAID 8970 IS TOUGH TO CROSS FROM THERE 8750 ALMOST CAME.
NOW WHAT NEXT???
8680 IS THE MAIN LEVEL TO WATCH FROM HERE IF BROKEN THEN WE ARE HEDGING TOWARDS 8280 POSITION-ALLY  BUT FROM HERE SEEMS MARKET WILL REBOUND TOWARDS 8935–9035 IF BREACH BELOW 8680 THEN ONLY OPTION THAT IS SHORT NIFTY NOTHING ELSE SO MAIN LEVEL TO WATCH IS 8680 SPOT.

WHAT EVER YOU EARN FROM MY CALLS PLEASE GIVE 10% PROFIT'S FOOD TO COWS AND DOGS HELP THM GOD WILL HELP YOU-!!!

Wednesday 21 September 2016

BoJ opts for tweaks to QE

The Bank of Japan has opted to finesse the conditions of its quantitative easing Programme rather than unleash a large dose of stimulus in its hotly-anticipated policy meeting – although policymakers left the door open to taking interest rates further into negative territory.

Unveiling “QQE with yield curve control” the BoJ said:

Interest rates were kept on hold at minus 0.1 per cent, although further rate cuts are not ruled out.
The scale of its quantitative easing programme was also kept on hold, with overall asset purchases at ¥80tn a year. However the BoJ has scrapped the maturity target in its bond-buying programme, a move which will ease the pressure on banks as a consequence of negative interest rates. Currently, the average remaining maturity of the government bonds the BoJ buys is set at 7-12 years.
The timeframe for reaching 2 per cent inflation target, which has been repeatedly pushed back since being first announced in April 2013, has now been set as “the earliest possible time”, – likely to be longer than the target of during fiscal 2017, the most recent date range outlined.
Source - FT

WHAT EVER YOU EARN FROM MY CALLS PLEASE GIVE 10% PROFIT'S FOOD TO COWS AND DOGS HELP THM GOD WILL HELP YOU-!!!

Bank of Japan September monetary policy meeting announcement

Bank of Japan September monetary policy meeting announcement
  • Keeps negative rate unchanged
  • To expand monetary base until inflation stable above 2%
  • To modify its policy framework
  • Adopts QQE with yield curve control
  • To keep buying JGBs so balance of its holdings increases at annual pace of 80 trln yen
  • Introduces new market ops for yield curve control
  • Depending on market conditions may set JGB purchase size per auction to fixed amount or unlimited amount
  • Purchasing yields will be set per auction by indicating the spread from the benchmark yield which BOJ determines separately
  • Makes amendment to ETF purchases
  • Decides to set target for long term interest rates
  • Maintains -0.1 pct negative interest rate
  • To abandon monetary base target
  • Says no official base money target, but maintains annual pace of JGB buying at 80 trln yen
  • To buy JGBs so 10 yr yield hovers around 0 pct
  • Scraps range for duration of JGBs that BOJ buys
  • Adopts commitment to let inflation overshoot above 2 pct
  • BOJ can cut short term policy rate, target level of long term rates in future easing
  • BOJ  may accelerate expansion of monetary base as future policy option
  • BOJ  to continue expanding monetary base until CPI exceeds 2% and stays above target in stable manner
  • Pace of monetary base increase may fluctuate in short run under market op that aims to control yield curve
  • Ready to conduct fixed rate JGB buying ops for 10-yr, 20-yr JGBs in case interest rates spike
  • To make yield curve control a centrepiece of its new policy framework
  • Maintains commitment to achieve 2% inflation at earliest date possible
  • Adopted new policy framework with view that further rise in inflation expectations may take time

WHAT EVER YOU EARN FROM MY CALLS PLEASE GIVE 10% PROFIT'S FOOD TO COWS AND DOGS HELP THM GOD WILL HELP YOU-!!!

Monday 22 August 2016

NIFTY SPOT VIEW

We suggest last week to sell below 8630 which got activated holding that only with sl of 8735 if nifty crosses 8735 then it may go till 8855--8910

those who have not shorted last week can enter sell below 8595 spot wth same sl as mentioned above 

from last one month nifty moving in range breakout oe breakdwn will be very fast and big move.

expected tgt for nifty is 8288.

sl is 8735.

WHAT EVER YOU EARN FROM MY CALLS PLEASE GIVE 10% PROFIT'S FOOD TO COWS AND DOGS HELP THM GOD WILL HELP YOU-!!!

Sunday 14 August 2016

NIFTY VIEW SPOT LEVELS

AS PER TARGET REACHED TILL 8728 

UP MOVE STARTED FROM 6825 I FEEL IT NEAR ALMOST TOP... CONFIRMATION WILL COME BELOW 8528.

IF THE DOWN MOVE WILL START THEN SPOT NIFTY CAN GO TILL 8290 AND EVEN 8100 ALSO POSSIBLE.

AND IF 8731 CROSSES AND SUSTAIN THEN MAX TO MAX UP MOVE WILL BE TILL 8860 8895.

FOR TRADING PURPOSE ONE CAN GO SHORT BELOW 8630 SL SHOULD BE 8731 EXPECTED TGT 8290.

WHAT EVER YOU EARN FROM MY CALLS PLEASE GIVE 10% PROFIT'S FOOD TO COWS AND DOGS HELP THM GOD WILL HELP YOU-!!!

Wednesday 10 August 2016

NIFTY VIEW 10-08-2016



FROM 8700 NIFTY GETTING DOWN SIDE SLIDES 

IF MOVES ABOVE 8751 AND SUSTAIN ABOVE THAT THEN MAXIMUM UPSIDE IS 8855-8880


NOW FOR DOWN SIDE LEVEL TO WATCH FROM HERE IS 8514 TRADE AND SUSTAIN BELOW THIS LEVEL WILL TAKE NIFTY TOWARDS 8299 SL SHOULD BE 8751 FOR THIS VIEW.

ALL ARE SPOT LEVELS :)

WHAT EVER YOU EARN FROM MY CALLS PLEASE GIVE 10% PROFIT'S FOOD TO COWS AND DOGS HELP THM GOD WILL HELP YOU-!!!

Tuesday 2 August 2016

MCX CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL REPORT

MCX CRUDE OIL CMP 2685 ABOVE IS THE MONTHLY CHART OF MCX CRUDE HERE WE CAN SEE PRICES TOPPED IN AUGUST 2013 AND FROM THERE PRICES HAVE FALLEN IN 5WAVES AS MARKED ON THE CHART AND THEN PRICES HAVE MADE BOTTOM IN THE MONTH OF FEB 2016 WHERE 5TH WAVE ENDED AND THEN WE HAVE SEEN RISE FROM 1805 TO 3442 WHICH CAN BE MARKED AS A WAVE A AND NOW WE ARE  WITNESSING  A RETRACEMENT  WHICH IS WAVE B. WAVE B CAN END SOMEWHERE AROUND 50% RETRACEMENT MARK AS SHOWN IN THE ABOVE CHART BY THE BLACK HORIZONTAL LINE AND NOW WE COULD START WAVE C WHICH CAN GO TO 3910-4220 LEVELS IN COMING MONTHS.

MACD IS TRADING BELOW ZERO LINE AS OF NOW ONCE IT CROSSES ABOVE ZERO LINE WE COULD SEE PRICES EDGING HIGHER. MONTHLY RSI ALSO HAS TURNED ABOVE FROM THE OVERSOLD ZONES INDICATING PRICES COULD EDGE HIGHER IN NEAR TERM. PRICES ARE TRADING BELOW 8EMA 20EMA 50EMA RIGHT NOW WHICH SUGGEST SOME CONSOLIDATION COULD BE SEEN AT LOWER LEVELS IN SHORT TERM.


VIEW: FROM THE ABOVE ANALYSIS WE SUGGEST TO BUY MCX CRUDE AT 2680 AND REST ON DIPS TO 2555 FOR THE TRAGETS OF 3899--4199 IN COMING MONTHS RISK FOR THE VIEW WILL BE AT CLOSE BELOW 2345 CORRESPONDINGLY NYMEX RISK LEVEL WILL BE AT A CLOSE BELOW 34.99$ AND TARGET AROUND $59.99 AND $64.99 ZONES.


WHAT EVER YOU EARN FROM MY CALLS PLEASE GIVE 10% PROFIT'S FOOD TO COWS AND DOGS HELP THM GOD WILL HELP YOU-!!!

MCX CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL REPORT

MCX CRUDE OIL CMP 2685 ABOVE IS THE MONTHLY CHART OF MCX CRUDE HERE WE CAN SEE PRICES TOPPED IN AUGUST 2013 AND FROM THERE PRICES HAVE FALLEN IN 5WAVES AS MARKED ON THE CHART AND THEN PRICES HAVE MADE BOTTOM IN THE MONTH OF FEB 2016 WHERE 5TH WAVE ENDED AND THEN WE HAVE SEEN RISE FROM 1805 TO 3442 WHICH CAN BE MARKED AS A WAVE A AND NOW WE ARE  WITNESSING  A RETRACEMENT  WHICH IS WAVE B. WAVE B CAN END SOMEWHERE AROUND 50% RETRACEMENT MARK AS SHOWN IN THE ABOVE CHART BY THE BLACK HORIZONTAL LINE AND NOW WE COULD START WAVE C WHICH CAN GO TO 3910-4220 LEVELS IN COMING MONTHS.

MACD IS TRADING BELOW ZERO LINE AS OF NOW ONCE IT CROSSES ABOVE ZERO LINE WE COULD SEE PRICES EDGING HIGHER. MONTHLY RSI ALSO HAS TURNED ABOVE FROM THE OVERSOLD ZONES INDICATING PRICES COULD EDGE HIGHER IN NEAR TERM. PRICES ARE TRADING BELOW 8EMA 20EMA 50EMA RIGHT NOW WHICH SUGGEST SOME CONSOLIDATION COULD BE SEEN AT LOWER LEVELS IN SHORT TERM.


VIEW: FROM THE ABOVE ANALYSIS WE SUGGEST TO BUY MCX CRUDE AT 2680 AND REST ON DIPS TO 2555 FOR THE TRAGETS OF 3899--4199 IN COMING MONTHS RISK FOR THE VIEW WILL BE AT CLOSE BELOW 2345 CORRESPONDINGLY NYMEX RISK LEVEL WILL BE AT A CLOSE BELOW 34.99$ AND TARGET AROUND $59.99 AND $64.99 ZONES.


WHAT EVER YOU EARN FROM MY CALLS PLEASE GIVE 10% PROFIT'S FOOD TO COWS AND DOGS HELP THM GOD WILL HELP YOU-!!!

Monday 30 May 2016

Nifty weekly levels 30 may 2016

Nifty great bounce above wall level of 7950 went till 8200 omg

Now what to do??

Those who are holding longs keep tsl at 8130 and 8075.

Those who are having zero position please you can take risk of selling nifty fut 8210 to 8220 keep sl of 8231 in spot nifty as above that only rally may continue else some profit booking on the way.

Above 8231 8235 sustain then maximum mkt can kiss 8510 will not cross 8660 at any cost.


All the levels  for education purpose take care.



WHAT EVER YOU EARN FROM MY CALLS PLEASE GIVE 10% PROFIT'S FOOD TO COWS AND DOGS HELP THM GOD WILL HELP YOU-!!!

Sunday 15 May 2016

Weekly spot nifty update 16th may 2016

Confused in nifty????
Let me try to help you out

Nifty can go till 8510 and 8660 break below 7490 will be the confirmation of recent high was a top. 

What to do in week starting from 16th may???

Last week we suggest buy those who holding buy modify sl at 7760.

Those who didnt bought can buy on cross above 7850 with sl of 7760 on 16th or 17th may

Break below 7760 it can kiss 7675 and 7650 

So we can find range between 7650 to 7990

Cross above 8010 will take nifty towards 8501

Break below 7675 and 7650 more panic can come if any shorting opportunity that time will let you know


WHAT EVER YOU EARN FROM MY CALLS PLEASE GIVE 10% PROFIT'S FOOD TO COWS AND DOGS HELP THM GOD WILL HELP YOU-!!

Monday 9 May 2016

Nifty spot weekly

Big range

If dont break 7490 and cross 8010 then we are hedhing towards 8500

Short range
Above 7782 we are heading towards 7900 and 8000
Only break below 7635 we can see 7400 levels.

WHAT EVER YOU EARN FROM MY CALLS PLEASE GIVE 10% PROFIT'S FOOD TO COWS AND DOGS HELP THM GOD WILL HELP YOU-!!!

PRECIOUS METAL’s TECHNICAL TREND AND OUTLOOK

PRECIOUS METAL’s TECHNICAL TREND AND OUTLOOK



GOLD - Key technical indicators and forecasts



Gold prices remained steady last week ending up by

0.4% at $1294 at Comex and 30366 at MCX.

Technically, prices formed a doji candlestick on

weekly charts indicating that some consolidation

may take place this week. Prices are having key

resistance at $1310 this week and support at $1265.

Prices need to sustain above $1310 for entering into

new rally towards $1350-$1370. At MCX key

resistance is at 30500 for this week and break above

this level may lead to further rally towards 30800-

31000. Overall trend is looking bullish and prices

need to break above previous week high for

sustaining the rally this week.



On indicators:

14-week RSI is at 66 and slope is down indicating

some downside correction may take place. MACD

indicator is trading in positive territory and

suggesting uptrend. Indicators are indicating

sideways to up trend.



Outlook: The overall trend looks up on weekly

charts for this week with key support at $1265 at

Comex and 29600 at MCX. Buy on dips remain a

broad strategy for this week.



Silver- Key technical indicators and forecasts

Silver futures ended lower last week after

witnessing sharp gains since past four weeks.

Comex silver ended down by 1.4% at $17.52

while MCX silver ended down at 41731.

Technically, prices may show some consolidation

before moving up, as overall trend is expected to

be bullish till they hold above the support at

40200. Key resistance is at 42500 this week at

MCX and $18.00 at Comex. Support is at 40200

at MCX and $17 at Comex. At Comex prices

should sustain above $18 for further rally

towards $18.50. While at MCX prices should

sustain above 42500 for taking it higher towards

43000-43500.



On indicators: 14-week RSI slope is down at 63

suggesting consolidation while MACD indicator is

in positive territory suggesting upside move.



Outlook:

For the week ahead prices may show range

bound movement in the range of 40800-41800.

Break above 42000 is important for further rally.

WHAT EVER YOU EARN FROM MY CALLS PLEASE GIVE 10% PROFIT'S FOOD TO COWS AND DOGS HELP THM GOD WILL HELP YOU-!!!

Monday 2 May 2016

Nifty view

Nifty may june levels

Range will be 7730 to 8010

Break below 7730 without crossing 8010 will take market towards 7401

Or cross above 8010 without breaking 7730 take market towards 8500


What EVER YOU EARN FROM MY CALLS PLEASE GIVE 10% PROFIT'S FOOD TO COWS AND DOGS HELP THM GOD WILL HELP YOU-!!!

Friday 29 April 2016

Deri roll april to may 2016


rolls at 74% (last month 62%),higher than 6-month average of 69%, however in value terms, it is at 165 Cr. versus 158 Cr. (NIFTY was up by 2% in last series, number of shares also increased at 209 lakh versus 204 lakh shares). On other hand, market wide increased at 83% (last month 79%) in value terms 54925 Cr which is lower than last month 50827 Cr., (in share terms it gains, along with price action as some individual stocks have moved up 5% on price chart) leading to overall position high 71495 Cr Vs 66712 Cr. (increase M-o-M) in futures positions Roll Cost is at 0.49 which is higher Month on Month of 0.30, better  than 3mth avg. of 0.30, with NIFTY cost also at 0.61 (better last month 0.54, also better  0.44 avg. of 3 months). Also, NIFTY/STOCK Fut. Has spurted up  at 0.30 (last month 0.29), implies market participants continue to decreased bet on individual stocks.

Nifty front PCR_OI opened below 1 at 0.92 (higher last month 0.77 last  4mth Avg. 0.84) with 8000 and 8200 CE having highest OI across CE options as 26 and 32 lakh Shares (7.5 and 7.6 lakh shares add on Thursday), implying CE writers are convinced NIFTY will find resistance around 8080-8250; on support side PE OI is at 7700 and 7800 PE 38 and 31 lakh shares, (Thursday add 15 and 7 lakh Shares), implying 7700 will be crucial support zone; Index options positions have  increased to 81803 Cr (last month 80640 Cr) however if we take premium in consideration, Options increase in line with market participants clearly placing bets on VIX to be moving up  as it is reached crucial support 15.5, if moves back above  17.5-18.1, BEARS will find upper hand and BULLS will find difficult to manage on to support at base levels NIFTY 7750-7800, We feel Nifty trading range for first few days of this series would be 7750-8130 as we enter the May Series.

Among stock futures positions have decreased in Mid Cap Stocks implying traders continue cut down positions  in MAR; making stock specific activity crucial; sectors that can outperform Index in the MAY Series AUTO, FIN. (except HSG. FIN.), PVT. BANKS, TEXTIES C-o-C improve; On other hand Flat Rolls seen CAP. GOODS,PSU BANKING, PHARMA, FMCG, OIL & GAS (RIL and OMC). and IT suggesting more Long Unwind or Fresh Shorts; need to look at new positions being added.



TOP PICKS



·         EICHERMTR rolls higher than avg. at 84% with Cost improving than 3mth avg. technically, the stock has closed above stiff resistance 19800, one should buy on dips till holds above 19700, any correction should be used to enter, till holds above 19800, will ensure target of 20600-20800.
·         AXISBK showing rolls above avg. at 81% versus 78% with C-o-C flat improve long rolled, Stock has formed a strong bottom at 453-455, if moves above 471 expect upside 485-498.
·         UPL rolls above avg. at 94% (M-o-M rolls flat with cost improve) implies supportive buying at lower level, with stock closing above 499-500 levels, till holds above 497 can test TGT. of 526-531
·         PFC. has seen above avg. rolls at 78% (above six month avg., with cost improve), implying long roll, stock has break out above at 174-175 i.e. coinciding with weekly resistance, if it stays above 174 can test higher levels  194-201 buy on dips.
·         DABUR: saw rolls of 90% (higher than six month avg.) with cost improve, implying long rolled technically stock has moved above stiff resistance 265-266 one should trade with positive bias till trades above 263 expect to retest further resistance levels of 275-279 levels.
·         NCC. showing well above avg. rolls of 87% with C-o-C flat to positive, implying long positions rolled , with stock rebounding from a strong support at  73-74 i, one should buy on dips, if stock sustains above 74-75, expect to test 85-86 recent high next resistance levels.
·         JSWSTEEL: saw above avg. rolls at 89% (increase M-o-M), with cost improve supportive buying at lower levels , with stock break out above stiff resistance at 1320-1325 levels buy on dips if trades above 1315 expect to test next resistance level of 1392-1400 levels.
·         GRANUELS rolls at 89% improve M-o-M (6-month avg.) with C-o-C increase imply long addition, technically, the stock has crossed stiff resistance 124-125 zone in weekly charts, till it remain above resistance 130, one should buy on dips for a target of 139-142.
·         Large Cap TECHM also saw above avg. rollover of 83% with Cost improve; supportive buying, stock has rebounded crucial support zone levels of 469-470 i.e. weekly support, if it remains above 475 levels and moves above 483 expect to test 509-510 levels

WHAT EVER YOU EARN FROM MY CALLS PLEASE GIVE 10% PROFIT'S FOOD TO COWS AND DOGS HELP THM GOD WILL HELP YOU-!!!

Wednesday 27 April 2016

Today’s Headlines – 27th April 2016

 Today’s Headlines – 27th April 2016



Market and Economy

·         Mutual fund folios see a record 14% increase in fiscal 2016
·         Equity Funds Continue To Draw Retail Investors: CRISIL
·         Don’t expect next Fed rate hike until 2018: Michael Sneyd, BNP Paribas
·         FSSAI expansion plans shelved by government
·         Markets nearly erase 2016 losses to end at a four-month high
·         BSE launches gold hedge indices to protect equity investors
·         Centre to divest 11.36% stake in NHPC
·         Forest clearances for only 6% of road projects since Jan 2015
·         DBS Bank offers 7% interest rate
·         Either ways, India to benefit from global central


Mutual fund folios see a record 14% increase in fiscal 2016

Mutual funds folios in India rose by a record 14% in the year ended 31 March, indicating growing interest of retail investors in equity-oriented funds.

Mutual funds in India added more than 5.9 million folios to reach a total of 47.7 million in FY16, Crisil Research said on Tuesday, citing data disclosed by the Association of Mutual Funds in India (Amfi). A folio is a unique number given to an investor by an asset management company for investing in a particular fund.

The industry added 1.81 million folios in the March quarter, an increase of 3.95% from the preceding December quarter.

Read more at:

http://www.livemint.com/Money/VBRowqYA6XWPQo55asrVDJ/Mutual-fund-folios-rise-a-record-14-in-fiscal-year-201516.html



Equity Funds Continue To Draw Retail Investors: CRISIL

Volatility in the Indian stock markets has not deterred retail investors from pouring money in equity-oriented funds, CRISILBSE 0.37 % research said in a report. Retail folios in equity schemes rose 13.1% to 3.49 crore in FY16 and contributed 77% of the total retail folios, despite the market as represented by Nifty 50, closing the fiscal year down nearly 9%.

"The latest quarter saw addition of 12.57 lakh accounts - the highest since December 2014," the report stated. "Retail folios in the segment marked the sixth consecutive quarter of gains."

Among other categories, balanced funds, with higher orientation towards equity, too continued to benefit from the penchant for equity investments. The category added 4.33 lakh folios in FY16 to push the total count to 23.38 lakh.

Read more at:
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/51992027.cms?utm_source=contentofinterest&utm_medium=text&utm_campaign=cppst



Don’t expect next Fed rate hike until 2018: Michael Sneyd, BNP Paribas


The US Federal Reserve is unlikely to raise interest rates until 2018, said Michael Sneyd, forex strategist at BNP Paribas. He said the Fed may consider a rate hike only if the US economy does exceptionally well, but such a move could upset equations, choking fund flows. Sneyd spoke to Saikat Das and Pratik Bhakta during his recent India visit. Edited excerpts:

What worries the world markets? The biggest focus over the last few weeks has been the Fed and its move to be more dovish.

What signals are you getting from the Federal Reserve? A few weeks ago, Fed chief Janet Yellen said the way the Fed views the world has been unchanged. But the downside risks to the US economy have increased. Most of the downside risks stem from what is happening in foreign economies. It also extends from what is happening in global markets.

Read more at:
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/52002229.cms?utm_source=contentofinterest&utm_medium=text&utm_campaign=cppst



FSSAI expansion plans shelved by government



The plan to expand the Food Safety and Standards Authority of India (FSSAI) is proposed to be shelved by the government. In 2014, the government had mooted a draft cabinet note for a Rs 1,750 crore-central scheme for  strengthening of FSSAI, e-governance, food safety surveillance and expansion of states’ capacity.

In contrast, a note written by the chairperson of FSSAI,Ashish Bahuguna on January 6, this year to his staff has suggested that the FSSAI would wind up its regional offices and leave enforcement of  safety laws to state governments. With the Rs 800 crore support to states under the central scheme being shelved, Bahuguna has also recommended that regulations be amended, allowing state  officials to monitor food safety as an additional duty and not necessarily on a full-time basis. He has also recommended that instead of setting up government labs to test food samples, as was previously planned,  FSSAI should depend on private labs.



Read more at:

http://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/fssai-expansion-plans-shelved-by-government-116042601273_1.html



Markets nearly erase 2016 losses to end at a four-month high



Indian indices on Tuesday posted their biggest single-day advance in two weeks, boosted by earnings of Maruti Suzuki. Gains in the European market and recovery in global crude oil prices also helped investor sentiment.

The Sensex added 328 points, or 1.3 per cent, to end at 26,007, the highest close since January 1. The Nifty 50 index rallied 107.6 points, or 1.4 per cent, to 7,962.6, only one point shy of a new 2016 high.



Both indices have rallied 13 per cent each since March 1, helped by recovery in global markets. The indices had plunged over 12 per cent in the first two months of the year, on fears of a China-led global slowdown.  

Foreign investors on Tuesday bought shares worth over Rs 500 crore, provisional data showed.



Read more at:

http://www.business-standard.com/article/markets/markets-nearly-erase-2016-losses-to-end-at-a-four-month-high-116042600877_1.html

BSE launches gold hedge indices to protect equity investors



Asia Index Pvt Ltd, a joint venture between the S&P Dow Jones Indices and the BSE, has launched a new Gold Hedged Index and Dynamic Gold Hedged Index, the first such indices in India. These indices “can serve as the basis of investment products such as ETFs that allow investors to benefit from the returns of the Indian equity market while hedging against a decline in the value of the Indian rupee versus gold,” a press release from the company said.



The two indices are designed to simulate the total returns of the benchmark Sensex with a hedge against the fluctuations of the rupee against gold. The risks involved in investing in equity continue, however.



The Gold Hedge is calculated as a combination of a long Sensex total return position and Gold Mini futures contracts on the Multi Commodity Exchange of India (MCX).



Read more at:

http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/todays-paper/tp-markets/bse-launches-gold-hedge-indices-to-protect-equity-investors/article8525195.ece

Centre to divest 11.36% stake in NHPC

Putting its disinvestment programme for the 2016-17 fiscal on the fast track, the government announced on Tuesday that it will sell 11.36 per cent stake in NHPC to raise close to ₹ 2,800 crore.

The stake sale will be through the offer for sale mechanism and non-retail investors will be eligible to place bids on April 27 while retail investors will be eligible to bid on April 28.

The floor price for the offer for sale has been set at  21.75 per share and on offer will be 125.76 crore shares. On Tuesday, public sector hydro power producer NHPC’s shares closed 1.32 per cent higher on the BSE at 23.05.

The government currently holds 85.96 per cent stake in NHPC.

By conducting the offer for sale in April, the government will commence the disinvestment programme for the 2016-17 fiscal in the first month of the fiscal itself. For the full fiscal, the government aims to raise 35,000 crore from the minority stake sales in public sector units.

Read more at:

http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/markets/centre-to-divest-1136-stake-in-nhpc/article8524288.ece?homepage=true



Forest clearances for only 6% of road projects since Jan 2015



The Union environment ministry has given final forest clearance to only 6% of the 598 proposals it received for road and highways projects across India in the 16 months starting January 2015.



Environment minister Prakash Javadekar, however, attributed the delay to state governments who don’t send the required documents. According to environment ministry data, the centre received 598 proposals to build roads and highways from 1st January 2015 to 21 April 2016 from various states for forest clearance.



Of the total 598 proposals, only 37 (6%) got final forest clearance while 164 got in-principle approval. “Decision on 364 (60%) proposals is pending due to non-receipt of essential documents/information sought from the concerned states/Union Territories,” Javadekar told the Lok Sabha on Tuesday.

Read more at:

http://www.livemint.com/Politics/xznuWSDzz1snTEYCMPFdgO/Forest-clearances-for-only-6-of-road-projects-since-Jan-20.html



DBS Bank offers 7% interest rate



The rate is for accounts opened via 'digibank'

Singapore’s largest lender DBS Bank on Tuesday launched ‘digibank’, a mobile only bank, offering 7 per cent interest for accounts opened through it.

The bank is targeting five million savings account customers through this platform in the next few years and help increasing its liability book to Rs 50,000 crore and asset book to Rs 10,000 crore.

Piyush Gupta, chief executive officer, DBS Bank said, “Our goal is to get five million customers through the Digibank in the next 4-5 years. We will offer account-holders 7 per cent interest, one of the highest interest rate in the market on every rupee, allow unlimited free cash withdrawals at over 200,000 ATMs nationwide, there is no minimum balance requirements.”

Unlike other private sector lenders such as Kotak Bank, Yes Bank that offer six per cent on deposits above Rs 1 lakh, DBS would be offering 7 per cent irrespective of the amount in the saving account.



Read more at:

http://www.mydigitalfc.com/banking/dbs-bank-offers-7-interest-rate-055

Either ways, India to benefit from global central banks' moves



Central bank actions and statements are again at centrestage and likely to shape the narrative and the trading trends across the world this week. The US Federal Reserve is unlikely to do anything substantial but Chariperson Yellen's statement will be parsed, with great care for nuances. The optimists believe that the statement will be generally upbeat. The pessimists believe the statement will be downbeat.

There are differences of opinion as to what would be upbeat or downbeat. The primary consideration for most traders is liquidity. The biggest fear for most traders is that the Fed will hike interest rates soon and that will reduce the cash available for speculation.



Nobody expects the Fed to hike immediately but it's possible that the Fed might hike in June and almost certain that it will hike inside calendar 2016. The Fed would only hike in a hurry if it saw strong the gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the US and a tightening labour market, which could create the preconditions for inflation.



Read more at:

http://www.business-standard.com/article/markets/either-ways-india-to-benefit-from-global-central-banks-moves-116042601173_1.html



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IPO Note - Thyrocare Technologies Limited (TTL) (Long term Investors – Subscribe

Errata:  IPO Note - Thyrocare Technologies Limited (TTL) - (Long term Investors – Subscribe)





Please note that the IPO report published yesterday (Thyrocare Technologies Ltd IPO Note) had erroneously assigned a P/E of 20x (within the outlook and valuations section of the report) to Thyrocare Technologies Lt (TTL), whereas the value was derived using a P/E multiple of 30x. Also note that the P/E multiple of 30x represents a nearly 37% discount to the only listed peer available (i.e. Dr Lal Path Labs). Rest of the investment arguments remain unchanged.



Apologies for the error.

IPO Note - Thyrocare Technologies Limited (TTL)  (Long term Investors – Subscribe)



Key Highlights

·         Portfolio of wide range of specialized tests and profiles of tests: TTL provides a wide range of diagnostic tests which include 198 tests and 59 profiles of tests. These tests cover the fast growing segment of wellness and preventive healthcare. According to CRISIL Research, this segment is expected to grow at a CAGR of 25% over next three years.
·         Preventive medical tests catching up fast in the country: The profiles of tests include 16 profiles of tests administered under the “Aarogyam” brand, which offers patients a suite of wellness and preventive health care tests.
·         Multi-lab Model driving volume: TTL operates through one central lab and 5 regional processing labs which enabled it to boost the tests volume to over 38% CAGR over the past three years. Given the business model of the company, it is expected to maintain the growth trajectory in the medium to long term.
·         Pan-India, widely spread collection network: TTL has built a nation-wide network of collection centers using 1041 franchises in 466 cities and spread across 24 states and one union territory which has helped the company to penetrate deep in the Indian diagnostic services market.
·         Strong operating performance and asset light model leading to high returns: The franchise model of the company has helped it to minimize its capital expenditure leading to higher returns on equity as well as return on capital employed. TTL’s sales and EBITDA have grown by a CGAR of ~24% and ~22% respectively over the past 5 years.
Outlook and Valuations

Thyrocare Technologies Ltd. was among the first Indian diagnostic laboratories to obtain internationally renowned quality accreditations like ISO 9001-2000 rating as early as 2001, having over 1000 franchises spread in 466 cities across 24 states and one union territory in India. TTL’s sales have grown at a CAGR of ~24% to over the past five years.

Given a) strong management background, b) established brand and c) strong growth statistics, we value TTL at `486 per share (i.e. ~20x its FY18E profits based on our estimated sales growth of 24% CAGR between FY16 – FY18, and normalized net profit margins of 25%) and recommend “Subscribe” on TTL IPO for both long term and near term investors as it is one of its kind companies in this space, with this kind of a business model.



Key Risks



TTL operates in industry which is highly competitive and fragmented: Due to low entry barrier, the diagnostic industry in India is

highly competitive as the company has to compete with organized as well as unorganized players. At the same time, company also

faces competition from their franchises as they may decide to start their own laboratories.

 Negative Publicity of Brand may harm the business and also the survival: Brand is among the most valuable asset to the

company. Any negative publicity may harm the Brand of the company which it turns may affect the operations and business of the

company adversely. This may also challenge the survival of the company. At the same time company may not be able to control all

the factors as some are beyond its control.

 Delay in transportation or logistics could disrupt the Hub n Spoke model of the company: Since the company operates through

one central processing lab and five regional processing labs, timely delivery and logistical efficiency is critical is maintaining its quality

and promptness of service (the entire hub and spoke model is dependent on the efficiency of the logistics). Any disruption in that

poses business risk to the company.

 High dependency on the franchises: Company operates in franchise based revenue model. It becomes important for the company

to attract new franchises and retain the existing ones to maintain and grow the test volumes. At the same time it has to ensure the

efficiency with which the franchises work (as to how they collect samples).





IPO details

The Company plans to raise around `4.79bn through the issue.

 An offer for sale of shares worth `4.79 bn (at the upper end of the price band).

 The issue will constitute up to 20% of post issue equity.

 At the higher end of the price band, the market-cap will stand at ~24.00bn.


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