Monday, 12 May 2014

NaMo Wave – A Tsunami for Bears!!!!




Dear Friends,

Following is the Analysis on Several Indices including Nifty, Bank Nifty, All F&O Stocks, Small Cap & Mid Cap along with VIX & USDINR, Derivatives Outlook.

CNX Nifty (CMP 6858):

Rising expectations & speculation about the formation of a stable Modi led Government led to huge short covering & buying support on all dips from 6630-6640 zone & as a result moved upwards towards record high levels of 6860 zone.
With 6800 & 6700 PE having maximum OI of 33 Lakhs & 23 lakhs respectively & along with 7000-7200 Call having an OI of 53 & 48 Lakhs respectively, 6780-6790 is a key support in the next few sessions.
Till Nifty holds 6780, it can further witness a galloping move upto 6970-6985. Only on cross-over & sustenance above 6985, it would move upto 7070-7185. Break below 6780, could lead to retest of 6710-6650.
Weekly Range could be 6780-6990.  

Technically, Technical Oscillators RSI is placed above their respective averages on daily as well as weekly charts. Further MACD is placed above its average on the weekly charts & Stochastic is placed above its average on the daily charts. Nifty Index is placed above its 50, 100 & 200 DMA along with 50 DMA & 100 DMA being placed above 200 DMA which is known as a Golden Cross Break-out. These positive technical conditions would augur well for the Markets & lead to buying on all dips going forward.
However MACD which is placed below its average on daily charts & Stochastic below its average on Weekly Charts would lead to some profit booking at higher levels.

Focus has shifted to the quality mid-caps & small-caps where the next round of wealth is being created. Now it is all the more important to be very stock specific & stay cautious as in the forthcoming 4-5 sessions, the political uncertainty increasing day by day during the ongoing Lok Sabha Elections, Announcements pertaining to Exit Polls from May 12, 2014 & its possible outcome on May 16, 2014.

Going forward,
Movement of the Markets would be dictated by FII Fund Flows, Global Market Trends, ongoing India Q4FY14 Corporate results along with future earnings guidance, news-flow about the Exit Polls pertaining to Lok-Sabha elections, movement of Rupee against the Dollar & crude oil price movement.
Trade cautiously as movements would be bit choppy & volatile in the upcoming week in the run-up to Lok Sabha election results due to VIX approaching higher levels of 40.

USDINR (CMP 59.85):
Rupee has strengthened to 59.80 zone on account of the relentless FII flows. Further Strengthening of Rupee would be extremely beneficial to importers & to those companies that have US Dollar Denominated Loans, thus would be having a statutory impact on their bottom-line. Rupee can strengthen till 58-58.50 till 61 is not breached on the higher side.

BRENT CRUDE ($ 108)
Brent Crude has weakened from 117 $ to 107 $ per barrel in the past few weeks & it has a big positive impact on the domestic economy as the country is the biggest importer of Crude Oil. It would even reduce the burden of Oil Subsidies which inturn would shape a better picture of the country’s BOP.

Strengthening of Rupee along with falling crude prices would lead to a massive improvement in the fundamentals of the economy which would inturn improve the economic sentiment tremendously.

Midcap: (CMP 8964)
CNX Midcap CMP 8964 witnessed buying support on all lower levels & surged to a record high of 8970. Going Forward 8750 is held, expect this current uptrend to continue upto 9150 where the current upmove could end & reversal can be witnessed. Stay cautious as RSI too has approached overbought zone. Break & sustenance below 8750 with volumes could lead to a retest of 8400-8320 zone.

Small Cap (CMP 7593):
BSE Small-cap CMP 7532 witnessed buying support on all lower levels & surged to a newer high of 7600.
Going Forward 7475 is held, expect this current uptrend to continue upto 7900 where the current upmove could end & reversal can be witnessed. Stay cautious as RSI too has approached overbought zone. Break & sustenance below 7475 with volumes could lead to a retest of 7100-6980 zone.

VIX 37.7:
VIX in the past 1 Month has vertically moved up from 15 to 38 i.e almost a 110% increase on account of the Election Event led uncertainty. Going forward, till 33 zone holds, it can move upto 40-42 zone. Below 33 would fall to lower levels of 29-25.

On the derivatives front,
• FII’s for the past week have stayed net buyers in the cash market but seen hedging their positions by turning sellers in derivatives markets while DII’s have been Net sellers for the week gone by.
• On a Weekly basis In Index Futures FIIs were Net Sellers to the tune of ` 577 Cr with an open interest increase of around `2071 Cr which indicates Short Build Up in Index Futures by FIIs.
• Nifty PCR_OI has fallen to 0.79 compared to 0.91 week earlier.
• NIFTY 6800-6700 PE highest OI 33 & 23 lakh shares each, implying PE writers 6780-6810, strong support; On other hand 7000-7200 CE total OI 53 & 48 lakh shares; expected range coming week 6780-6990.

• Nifty Futures have closed at a 29 points premium during the last week compared to 32 points a week earlier.

Cumulative FII Derivatives Stats from 25/04/2014 to 09/05/2014:

Index Futures: -2685 Cr;
Index Options: -1924 Cr;
Stock Futures: -2253 Cr;
Stock Options: +2 Cr

Cash Market:
FII: +3579 Cr;
DII: -2472 Cr.

Cumulative FII Derivatives Stats from 05/05/2014 to 09/05/2014:

Index Futures: -577 Cr;
Index Options: -4214 Cr;
Stock Futures: -1238 Cr;
Stock Options: -181 Cr

Cash Market:
FII: +2077 Cr;

DII: -733 Cr. .

IT: Sector Weightage 16.62% in Nifty: 

TCS (CMP 2160) - Weightage 5.25% in Nifty. 
Stock has entered sell mode. Till 2210 zone is not crossed, expect a retest of support zone 2050. Upside upto 2290 if crosses & sustains 
above 2210. 

Infosys (CMP 3111) - Weightage 6.77% in Nifty. 
Stock is in Buy mode & RSI, MACD & MFI is showing positive divergence at extremely oversold zone. Hence Stock should take support 
around 3060 zone & if 3060 holds would further move upto 3200 zone. Below 3060, would retest 2920. 

WIPRO (CMP 514) - Weightage 1.74% in Nifty. 
Stock is in Buy mode. Hence Stock should take support around 500 zone & if 500 holds would further move upto 540 zone. Below 500, 
would retest 470. 

HCLTECH (CMP 1371) - Weightage 1.67% in Nifty. 
Stock is in buy mode along with Stochastic & MACD showing positive divergence. Stock should take support around 1330-1340 zone & if 
1330 holds would further move upto 1465 zone. Below 1330, would retest 1270. 

TECH MAHINDRA (CMP 1776): Q4 Results on 14/05/2014. 
Stock should take support around 1730-1740 zone & if 1730 holds would further move upto 1850 zone. Below 1730, would retest 1670. 

HEXAWARE (CMP 139): 
Stock has entered sell mode. Till 146 zone is not crossed, expect a retest of support zone 130. Upside upto 160 if crosses & sustains 
above 146. 

OFSS (CMP 2953): 
Stock has entered sell mode. Till 3020 zone is not crossed, expect a retest of support zone 2858. Upside upto 3160 if crosses & sustains 
above 3020. 

Banking / Finance - Sector Weightage 26.46% in Nifty: 
CMP 13,750. Last week. Bankex got support @ 12,800 zone & thus witnessed a massive upsurge upto 13750 zone. 
Now Going Forward, till 13,300 zone holds, expect the index to witness a small upside upto 14,300-14,350 zone again. However, if it 
breaks & sustains below 13,300 zone, 12,750-12,700 would be witnessed. 
 
HDFCBANK (CMP 757) - Weightage 6% in Nifty 
Stock has given a fresh break out with volumes. However since the rise on Friday have been too swift & steep, Stock should take support 
around 735-740 zone & if 735 holds would further move upto 790-800 zone. Below 735, would retest 700. 
 
SBI (CMP 2173) - Weightage 2.42% in Nifty. 
Stock has given a fresh break out with volumes. However since the rise on Friday have been too swift & steep, Stock should take support 
around 2120-2125 zone & if 2120 holds would further move upto 2250-2270 zone. Below 2120, would retest 2050. 
 
HDFC (CMP 884) - Weightage 5.81% in Nifty - Q4 Results on 06/05/2014 (Tuesday): 
Stock is in buy zone & should take support around 860-865 zone & if 860 holds would further move upto 939 zone. Below 860, would 
retest 810. 
 
ICICI BANK (CMP 1378) - Weightage 6% in Nifty. 
Stock has given a fresh break out with volumes. However since the rise on Friday have been too swift & steep, Stock should take support 
around 1330-1335 zone & if 1330 holds would further move upto 1450 zone. Below 1330, would retest 1267. 
 
Axis Bank (CMP 1630) - Weightage 2% in Nifty. 
Stock has given a fresh break out with volumes. However since the rise on Friday have been too swift & steep, Stock should take support 
around 1580-1585 zone & if 1580 holds would further move upto 1700 zone. Below 1580, would retest 1500. 
 
Kotak Bank (CMP 851) - Weightage 1.3% in Nifty. 
Stock has given a fresh break out with volumes. However since the rise on Friday have been too swift & steep, Stock should take support 
around 820-825 zone & if 820 holds would further move upto 900 zone. Below 820, would retest 780. 
 
Bank of Baroda (CMP 831) - Weightage 0.65% in Nifty. 
Stock has given a fresh break out with volumes. However since the rise on Friday have been too swift & steep, Stock should take support 
around 805-810 zone & if 805 holds would further move upto 860 zone. Below 805, would retest 770. 
 
PNB (CMP 819) - Weightage 0.5% in Nifty. Q4 Results on 13/05/2014. 
Stock has given a fresh break out with volumes. However since the rise on Friday have been too swift & steep, Stock should take support 
around 795-800 zone & if 795 holds would further move upto 850 zone. Below 795, would retest 760. 
 
IDFC (CMP 117) - Weightage 0.69% in Nifty. 
Stock has given a fresh break out with volumes. However since the rise on Friday have been too swift & steep, Stock should take support 
around 111-112 zone & if 111 holds would further move upto 130 zone. Below 111, would retest 100. 
 
IndusInd Bank (CMP 513) - Weightage 0.95% in Nifty. 
Stock has given a fresh break out with volumes. However since the rise on Friday have been too swift & steep, Stock should take support 
around 488-490 zone & if 488 holds would further move upto 560 zone. Below 488, would retest 450. 
 
L&T Finance (CMP 65): 
Stock has given a fresh break out with volumes. However since the rise on Friday have been too swift & steep, Stock should take support 
around 62-63 zone & if 62 holds would further move upto 70 zone. Below 62, would retest 55. 

M&M Finance (CMP 246): 
Stock is in buy mode & has formed a Inverse Head & Shoulder Pattern. Till support 235 holds, can further move upto 280. If does not 
take support @ 235 & breaks it, Can retest 215 zone. 
 
LIC Housing Fin (CMP 279): 
Stock is in buy zone. Till support 265 holds, can further move upto 300. If does not take support @ 265 & breaks it, Can retest 247 zone. 
 
PFC (CMP 201): 
Stock is in Buy mode. Stock should take support around 194-196 zone & if 194 holds would further move upto 215 zone. Below 194, 
would retest 180. 
 
RELIANCE CAPTIAL (CMP 366): 
Stock has given a fresh break out with volumes. However since the rise on Friday have been too swift & steep, Stock should take support 
around 346-348 zone & if 346 holds would further move upto 405 zone. Below 346, would retest 325. 
 
Shriram Transport Finance (CMP 771): 
Stock has given a fresh break out with volumes. However since the rise on Friday have been too swift & steep, Stock should take support 
around 745-750 zone & if 745 holds would further move upto 805 zone. Below 745, would retest 720. 
 
ALBK (CMP 94): 
Stock has entered sell mode & could face selling pressure on rises. Till 96-97 zone is not crossed, expect a retest of support zone 
87. Upside upto 106 if crosses & sustains above 97. 
 
ANDHRA BANK (CMP 65): 
Stock is in buy mode & has formed a Inverse Head & Shoulder Pattern. Till support 61 holds, can further move upto 71-73. If does not 
take support @ 61 & breaks it, Can retest 54 zone. 
 
BANKINDIA (CMP 243): Q4 Results on 15/05/2014. 
Stock has given a fresh break out with volumes & has formed an Inverse Head & Shoulder pattern. However since the rise on Friday 
have been too swift & steep, Stock should take support around 230-235 zone & if 230 holds would further move upto 265 zone. Below 
230, would retest 195. 
 
CANARA BANK (CMP 286): 
Stock has given a fresh break out with volumes & has formed an Inverse Head & Shoulder pattern. Stock should take support around 
273 zone & if 273 holds would further move upto 320 zone. Below 273, would retest 257. 
 
DENABANK (CMP 63): 
Stock is in buy mode & should take support around 61 zone & if 61 holds would further move upto 68 zone. Below 61, would retest 52. 
 
FEDERAL BANK (CMP 95): 
Stock is in buy mode & should take support around 91 zone & if 91 holds would further move upto 108 zone. Below 91, would retest 80. 
 
IDBI (CMP 69): 
Stock is in buy mode & should take support around 66-66.5 zone & if 66 holds would further move upto 75 zone. Below 66, would retest 
57. 
 
IOB (CMP 60): 
Stock is in buy mode & should take support around 57 zone & if 57 holds would further move upto 67 zone. Below 57, would retest 50. 

KARNATAKA BANK (CMP 124): Q4 Results on 15/05/2014. 
Stock is in buy mode & should take support around 118-119 zone & if 118 holds would further move upto 137 zone. Below 118, would 
retest 104. 
 
ORIENTAL BANK (CMP 266): 
Stock has given a fresh break out with volumes. However since the rise on Friday have been too swift & steep, Stock should take support 
around 250-255 zone & if 250 holds would further move upto 295 zone. Below 250, would retest 235. 
 
SYNDICATE BANK (CMP 102): 
Stock has entered sell mode & could face selling pressure on rises. Till 104-105 zone is not crossed, expect a retest of support zone 95. 
Upside upto 116 if crosses & sustains above 105. 
 
UCOBANK (CMP 79): 
Stock is in Buy mode. Stock should take support around 75-76 zone & if 75 holds would further move upto 89 zone. Below 75, would 
retest 67. 
 
UNIONBANK (CMP 145): 
Stock is in Buy mode. Stock should take support around 139-140 zone & if 139 holds would further move upto 162 zone. Below 139, 
would retest 125. 
 
YES BANK (CMP 485): 
Stock has given a fresh break out with volumes. However since the rise on Friday have been too swift & steep, Stock should take support 
around 466-468 zone & if 466 holds would further move upto 515 zone. Below 466, would retest 435. 
 
IFCI (CMP 27): 
Stock is in buy zone. Till support 25 holds, can further move upto 30. If does not take support @ 25 & breaks it, Can retest 21 zone. 

OIL & GAS - Sector Weightage 12.3% in Nifty: 
 
Reliance (CMP 998) - Weightage 6.93% in Nifty. 
Stock has given a fresh break out with volumes. However since the rise on Friday have been too swift & steep, Stock should take support 
around 975-980 zone & if 975 holds would further move upto 1035 zone. Below 975, would retest 940. 
 
ONGC (CMP 348) - Weightage 3% in Nifty. 
Stock is in Buy mode. Stock should take support around 336-338 zone & if 336 holds would further move upto 370 zone. Below 336, 
would retest 310. 
 
CAIRN (CMP 335) - Weightage 1 % in Nifty. 
Though Stock is in sell mode, it is consolidating in a tight range. Stock should take support around 330-332 zone & if 330 holds would 
further move upto 350 zone. Below 330, would retest 310. 
 
GAIL (CMP 371) - Weightage 0.82% in Nifty. 
Stock is witnessing consolidation in the past 7-8 sessions. Till support 361 holds, can further move upto 400. If does not take support @ 
371 & breaks it, Can retest 350 zone. 
 
BPCL (CMP 486) - Weightage 0.56% in Nifty. 
Stock is in buy zone & is showing MFI is showing positive divergence at lower levels & should take support around 465-467 zone & if 465 
holds would further move upto 515 zone. Below 465, would retest 430. 
 
HPCL (CMP 363): 
Stock is in Buy mode. Stock should take support around 347-350 zone & if 347 holds would further move upto 385 zone. Below 347, 
would retest 310. 
 
IGL (CMP 288): 
Stock is in Buy mode. Stock should take support around 277-280 zone & if 277 holds would further move upto 315 zone. Below 277, 
would retest 245. 
 
IOC (CMP 286): 
Stock is in Buy mode. Stock should take support around 275 zone & if 275 holds would further move upto 315 zone. Below 275, would 
retest 255. 
 
PETRONET (CMP 144): 
Though the stock is in sell mode, Stock should take support around 139 zone & if 139 holds would further move upto 160 zone. Below 
139, would retest 125.

FMCG - Sector Weightage 12.35% in Nifty: 
 
ITC (CMP 345) - Weightage 8.49% in Nifty. 
Stock is in Buy mode. Stock should take support around 338 zone & if 338 holds would further move upto 365 zone. Below 338, would 
retest 310. 
 
HUL (CMP 556) - Weightage 2.76% in Nifty. 
Though the stock is in sell mode, Stock should take support around 544 zone & if 544 holds would further move upto 590 zone. Below 
544, would retest 520. 
 
Asian Paints (CMP 521) - Weightage 1.1% in Nifty. Q4 Results on 14/05/2014. 
Stock is in Buy mode. Stock should take support around 503-505 zone & if 503 holds would further move upto 565 zone. Below 503, 
would retest 478. 
 
BATA INDIA (CMP 1029): 
Stock is in sell mode. Till 1055 zone is not crossed, expect a retest of support zone 980. Upside upto 1090 if crosses & sustains above 
1055. 
 
COLPAL (CMP 1418): 
MACD is in buy zone. Till support 1380 holds, can further move upto 1530. If does not take support @ 1380 & breaks it, Can retest 1335 
zone. 
 
DABUR (CMP 180): 
Stock is in buy zone. Till support 174 holds, can further move upto 190. If does not take support @ 174 & breaks it, Can retest 160 zone. 
 
GODREJ IND (CMP 290): 
Though the stock is in sell mode, Stock should take support around 280 zone & if 280 holds would further move upto 320 zone. Below 
280, would retest 260. 
 
MCDOWELL (CMP 2777): 
Stock is in buy zone & has formed an Inverse Head & Shoulder Pattern & should take support around 2730 zone & if 2730 holds would 
further move upto 2890 zone. Below 2730, would retest 2640. 
 
MCLOED RUSSEL (CMP 275): 
Stock is in buy zone. Till support 268 holds, can further move upto 300. If does not take support @ 268 & breaks it, Can retest 250 zone. 
 
TATA GLOBAL (CMP 145): 
Stock is in Buy zone. Till 140 holds, expect the stock to move up towards 170 zone. Below 140, stock would resume its downtrend 
towards 130 zone. 
 
TITAN (CMP 277): 
Stock is in Buy zone. Till 268 holds, expect the stock to move up towards 298 zone. Below 268, stock would resume its downtrend 
towards 244 zone. 

AUTO - Sector Weightage 9% in Nifty: 
 
Tata Motors (CMP 427) - Weightage 3.81% in Nifty. 
Stock is in Buy mode & should take support around 410-417 zone & if 410 holds would further move upto 453 zone. Below 410, would 
retest 383. 
 
Bajaj Auto (CMP 1920) - Weightage 1.3% in Nifty. Q4 Results on 15/05/2014. 
Stock is in Buy mode & should take support around 1870-1880 zone & if 1870 holds would further move upto 1970 zone. Below 1870, 
would retest 1820. 
 
Maruti (CMP 1975) - Weightage 1% in Nifty. 
Stock has given a fresh break out with volumes. However since the rise on Friday have been too swift & steep, Stock should take support 
around 1930-1940 zone & if 1930 holds would further move upto 2050 zone. Below 1930, would retest 1840. 
 
M&M (CMP 1102) - Weightage 1.9% in Nifty. 
Stock is in Buy mode & should take support around 1070-1075 zone & if 1070 holds would further move upto 1170 zone. Below 1070, 
would retest 1000. 
 
Hero Motors (CMP 2217) - Weightage 1% in Nifty. 
Stock is in Buy mode & should take support around 2170-2180 zone & if 2170 holds would further move upto 2300 zone. Below 2170, 
would retest 2070. 
 
APOLLO TYRES (CMP 167): 
Stock is in Buy mode & should take support around 160-163 zone & if 160 holds would further move upto 180 zone. Below 160, would 
retest 140. 
 
BHARAT FORGE (CMP 432): 
Stock is in Buy mode & should take support around 418-420 zone & if 418 holds would further move upto 460 zone. Below 418, would 
retest 390. 
 
EXIDE (CMP 117): 
Stock has entered sell mode along with RSI & Stochastic giving negative divergence from higher levels. Till 121 zone is not crossed, 
expect a retest of support zone 110. Upside upto 130 if crosses & sustains above 121. 
 
TATA MOTOR DVR (CMP 230): 
Stock is in Buy Zone & is in uptrend. Till 220 holds, it could move up upto 258. Below 220, could fall upto 211. 

PHARMA - Sector Weightage 5.25% in Nifty: 
 
Sun Pharma (CMP 624) - Weightage 2% in Nifty. 
Stock is in sell mode. Till 635-639 zone is not crossed, expect a retest of support zone 600. Upside upto 665 if crosses & sustains above 
639. 
 
Lupin (CMP 966) - Weightage 1% in Nifty. 
Stock is in sell mode. Till 986-990 zone is not crossed, expect a retest of support zone 920. Upside upto 1025 if crosses & sustains above 
990. 
 
Dr Reddy (CMP 2718) - Weightage 1.42% in Nifty: Q4 Results on 13/05/2014. 
Stock is in sell mode. Till 2760 zone is not crossed, expect a retest of support zone 2630. Upside upto 2840 if crosses & sustains above 
2760. 
 
Cipla (CMP 392) - Weightage 0.86% in Nifty. 
Stock is in Buy mode & should take support around 380 zone & if 380 holds would further move upto 425 zone. Below 380, would retest 
360. 
 
Ranbaxy (CMP 463): 
Stock has entered sell mode along with RSI, MACD & MFI giving negative divergence from higher levels. Till 479 zone is not crossed, 
expect a retest of support zone 440. Upside upto 516 if crosses & sustains above 479. 
 
AUROBINDO PHARMA (CMP 586): 
Stock has entered sell mode along with RSI, MACD & MFI giving negative divergence from higher levels. Till 605 zone is not crossed, 
expect a retest of support zone 553. Upside upto 636 if crosses & sustains above 605. 
 
BIOCON (CMP 471): 
Stock is in sell mode. Till 486-490 zone is not crossed, expect a retest of support zone 440. Upside upto 525 if crosses & sustains above 
490. 
 
DIVIS LAB (CMP 1338): 
Stock is in sell mode. Till 1368-1370 zone is not crossed, expect a retest of support zone 1270. Upside upto 1425 if crosses & sustains 
above 1370. 
 
GLENMARK (CMP 580): 
Stock has entered sell mode along with RSI, MACD & MFI giving negative divergence from higher levels. Till 605 zone is not crossed, 
expect a retest of support zone 553. Upside upto 636 if crosses & sustains above 605. 

METALS - Sector Weightage 2.37% in Nifty: 
 
SSLT (CMP 183) - Weightage 0.3% in Nifty. 
Though the stock is in sell mode, Stock should take support around 177 zone & if 177 holds would further move upto 200 zone. Below 
177, would retest 160. 
 
NMDC (CMP 150) - Weightage 0.47% in Nifty. 
Stock is in Buy zone. Till 147 holds, expect the stock to move up towards 163 zone. Below 147, stock would resume its downtrend 
towards 136 zone. 
 
Tata Steel (CMP 417) - Weightage 1% in Nifty. Q4 Results on 14/05/2014. 
Stock is in Buy zone. Till 399 holds, expect the stock to move up towards 443 zone. Below 399, stock would resume its downtrend 
towards 368 zone. 
 
Jindal Steel (CMP 245) - Weightage 0.50% in Nifty. 
Stock is in Buy zone. Till 237 holds, expect the stock to move up towards 256 zone. Below 237, stock would resume its downtrend 
towards 218 zone. 
 
HINDALCO (CMP 144) – Weightage 0.8% in Nifty. 
Stock is in Buy zone. Till 137 holds, expect the stock to move up towards 163 zone. Below 137, stock would resume its downtrend 
towards 126 zone. 
 
HINDZINC (CMP 123): 
Stock has entered sell mode. Till 128 zone is not crossed, expect a retest of support zone 115. Upside upto 138 if crosses & sustains 
above 128. 
 
JSWSTEEL (CMP 1132): 
Stock is in Buy zone & has formed an Inverse Head & Shoulder Pattern. Till 1098 holds, expect the stock to move up towards 1170 zone. 
Below 1098, stock would resume its downtrend towards 1050 zone. 
 
SAIL (CMP 70): 
Though the stock is in sell mode, Stock should take support around 67 zone & if 67 holds would further move upto 80 zone. Below 67, 
would retest 58. 

POWER - Sector Weightage 2.60% in Nifty: 
 
NTPC (CMP 118) - Weightage 1.08% in Nifty. Q4 Results on 15/05/2014. 
Stock is in Buy zone. Till 113 holds, expect the stock to move up towards 127 zone. Below 113, stock would resume its downtrend 
towards 102 zone. 
 
Power Grid (CMP 107) - Weightage 0.84% in Nifty. 
Stock is in Buy zone. Till 103 holds, expect the stock to move up towards 115 zone. Below 103, stock would resume its downtrend 
towards 90 zone. 
 
Tata Power (CMP 81) - Weightage 0.7% in Nifty. 
Though the stock is in sell mode, Stock should take support around 77 zone & if 77 holds would further move upto 90 zone. Below 77, 
would retest 69. 
 
CESC (CMP 508): 
Stock is in Buy zone. Till 490 holds, expect the stock to move up towards 546 zone. Below 490, stock would resume its downtrend 
towards 460 zone. 
 
PTC (CMP 67): 
Though the stock is in sell mode, Stock should take support around 65 zone & if 65 holds would further move upto 75 zone. Below 65, 
would retest 58. 
 
REC (CMP 249): 
Stock is in Buy zone. Till 241 holds, expect the stock to move up towards 270 zone. Below 241, stock would resume its downtrend 
towards 220 zone. 
 
REL INFRA (CMP 544): 
Stock has given a fresh break out with volumes. Stock should take support around 520-525 zone & if 520 holds would further move 
upto 575 zone. Below 520, would retest 490. 
 
RPOWER (CMP 70): 
Though the stock is in sell mode, Stock should take support around 67 zone & if 67 holds would further move upto 78 zone. Below 67, 
would retest 58. 
 
ADANI POWER (CMP 49): Q4 Results on 15/05/2014. 
Stock is in Buy zone. Till 47 holds, expect the stock to move up towards 56 zone. Below 47, stock would resume its downtrend towards 
40 zone. 
 
JSWENERGY (CMP 56): 
Stock is in Buy zone. Till 53 holds, expect the stock to move up towards 62 zone. Below 53, stock would resume its downtrend towards 
45 zone. 

CAPITAL GOODS - Sector Weightage 5.30% in Nifty: 
 
LT (CMP 1343) – Weightage 4.57% in Nifty. 
Though the stock is in sell mode, Stock should take support around 1300-1310 zone & if 1300 holds would further move upto 1392 
zone. Below 1300, would retest 1258. 
 
BHEL (CMP 194) - Weightage 0.73% in Nifty. 
Though the stock is in sell mode, Stock should take support around 174 zone & if 174 holds would further move upto 192 zone. Below 
174, would retest 158. 
 
CROMPTON GREAVES (CMP 175): 
Though the stock is in sell mode, Stock should take support around 167-168 zone & if 167 holds would further move upto 192 zone. 
Below 167, would retest 154. 
 
SIEMENS (CMP 719): 
Stock has given a fresh break out with volumes. However since the rise on Friday have been too swift & steep, Stock should take support 
around 690-695 zone & if 690 holds would further move upto 755 zone. Below 690, would retest 665. 
 
VOLTAS (CMP 165): 
Stock has given a fresh break out with volumes. However since the rise on Friday have been too swift & steep, Stock should take support 
around 158-160 zone & if 158 holds would further move upto 185 zone. Below 158, would retest 145. 
 
 
 
 
TELECOM - Sector Weightage 1.62% in Nifty: 
 
Bharti Airtel (CMP 309) – Weightage 1.62% in Nifty. 
Stock has entered sell mode. Till 317-319 zone is not crossed, expect a retest of support zone 290. Upside upto 345 if crosses & sustains 
above 319. 
 
IDEA (CMP 136): 
Though the stock is in sell mode, Stock should take support around 131-132 zone & if 131 holds would further move upto 144 zone. 
Below 131, would retest 120. 
 
RCOM (CMP 118): 
Though the stock is in sell mode, Stock should take support around 112-113 zone & if 112 holds would further move upto 134 zone. 
Below 112, would retest 100. 
 
TATA COMMUNICATIONS (CMP 274): Q4 Results on 13/05/2014. 
Stock is in Buy Mode and should take support around 260-262 zone. Till support 260 holds, can further move upto 300. If does not take 
support @ 260 & breaks it, Can retest 240 zone. 

CEMENT - Sector Weightage 2.94% in Nifty: 
 
Ultra Tech (CMP 2079) - Weightage 1% in Nifty. 
Stock has given a fresh break out with volumes. However since the rise on Friday have been too swift & steep, Stock should take support 
around 2010-2020 zone & if 2010 holds would further move upto 2170 zone. Below 2010, would retest 1930. 
 
Ambuja Cement (CMP 207) - Weightage 0.66% in Nifty. 
Though the stock is in sell mode, Stock should take support around 198 zone & if 198 holds would further move upto 222 zone. Below 
198, would retest 183. 
 
Grasim (CMP 2722) - Weightage 0.78% in Nifty. 
Though the stock is in sell mode, Stock should take support around 2665-2675 zone & if 2565 holds would further move upto 2800 
zone. Below 2565, would retest 2500. 
 
ACC (CMP 1341) - Weightage 0.50% in Nifty. 
Stock has given a fresh break out with volumes. However since the rise on Friday have been too swift & steep, Stock should take support 
around 1295-1310 zone & if 1295 holds would further move upto 1420 zone. Below 1295, would retest 1200. 
 
JP Associates (CMP 56) – 
Though the stock is in sell mode, Stock should take support around 52 zone & if 52 holds would further move upto 61 zone. Below 52, 
would retest 43. 
 
CENTURY TEXTILES (CMP 393): 
Stock is in Buy Mode and should take support around 375-380 zone. Till support 375 holds, can further move upto 430. If does not take 
support @ 375 & breaks it, Can retest 340 zone. 
 
INDIA CEMENTS (CMP 71): 
Though the stock is in sell mode, Stock should take support around 66-67 zone & if 66 holds would further move upto 81 zone. Below 
66, would retest 57. 
 
 
REAL ESTATE - Sector Weightage 0.33% in Nifty: 
 
DLF (CMP 145) - Weightage 0.33% in Nifty. 
Though the stock is in sell mode, Stock should take support around 138-140 zone & if 138 holds would further move upto 156 zone. 
Below 138, would retest 124. 
 
HDIL (CMP 78): 
Though the stock is in sell mode, Stock should take support around 72-73 zone & if 72 holds would further move upto 94 zone. Below 
72, would retest 60. 
 
IBREAL EST (CMP 64): 
Stock would take support around 60-60.50 zone & if 63 holds would further move upto 70 zone where this current rally could terminate. 
Below 60, would retest 55. 
 
UNITECH (CMP 16): 
Stock would take support around 15 zone & if 15 holds would further move upto 20 zone where this current rally could terminate. 
Below 15, would retest 13.2.
Others – 0.70%: 
 
COAL INDIA (CMP 308) - Weightage 0.70% in Nifty. 
MACD is in Buy Zone. If 295 holds, Stock could move upto 334 where it will face big resistance. Below 295, Tgt 268. 
 
ADANI ENT (CMP 432): Q4 Results on 17/05/2014. 
Stock would once take support around 416 zone & if 416 holds would further move upto 460 zone where this current rally could 
terminate. Below 416, would retest 380. 
 
ADANI PORTS (CMP 193): 
Stock would once take support around 192-195 zone & if 192 holds would further move upto 230 zone where this current rally could 
terminate. Below 192, would retest 178. 
 
HAVELLS (CMP 929): 
Stock would once take support around 900-910 zone & if 900 holds would further move upto 980 zone where this current rally could 
terminate. Below 900, would retest 868. 
 
JUST DIAL (CMP 1102): Q4 Results on 13/05/2014. 
Stock has entered sell mode. Till 1142 zone is not crossed, expect a retest of support zone 934. Upside upto 1200 if crosses & sustains 
above 1142. 
 
JAIN IRRIGATION (CMP 86): 
Stock would once take support around 82-83 zone & if 82 holds would further move upto 96 zone where this current rally could 
terminate. Below 82, would retest 76. 
 
JUBILANT FOODS (CMP 986): 
Though the stock is in sell mode, Stock should take support around 950 zone with MFI showing positive divergence & if 950 holds would 
further move upto 1040 zone. Below 950, would retest 870. 
 
IRB (CMP 132): 
Stock would once take support around 124-125 zone & if 124 holds would further move upto 145 zone where this current rally could 
terminate. Below 124, would retest 113. 
 
GMR INFRA (CMP 26): 
Stock is in Buy Zone & is firmly trading above all its major DMA. If 24 holds, Stock could move upto 30 where it will face big resistance. 
Below 24, Tgt 21. 
 
 
TEXTILES: 
 
ARVIND (CMP 192): 
Stock has entered sell mode along with RSI giving negative divergence from higher levels. Till 199 zone is not crossed, expect a retest of 
support zone 179 & then could bounce back. Upside upto 213 if crosses & sustains above 199. 
 
ABNUVO (CMP 1109): 
Stock is in Buy Zone & stock is firmly trading above its 200 DMA along with MFI showing positive divergence & stock forming an Inverse 
Head & Shoulder pattern. If 1075 holds, Stock could move upto 1192 where it will face big resistance. Below 1075, Tgt 1010. 

FERTILIZERS: 
 
TATA CHEM (CMP 291): 
Stock would once take support around 280-283 zone & if 280 holds would further move upto 310 zone where this current rally could 
terminate. Below 280, would retest 258. 
 
UPL (CMP 276): 
Stock is in Buy Zone & stock is firmly trading above its major DMA's. If 266 hold, Stock could move upto 310 where it will face big 
resistance. Below 266, Tgt 240. 
 
 
 
MEDIA: 
Sector has seen a drop in rolls below 6mth avg. rolls at 76% (M-o-M drop 78%), in line with market wide (with cost decline implying 
selling pressure higher levels) with Zee as Outperformer. 
 
DISH TV (CMP 45): 
Though Stock is in sell mode, it is finding support at lower levels. Till 43 holds, expect the stock to move up towards 53 zone. Below 43, 
stock would resume its downtrend towards 35 zone. 
 
SUNTV (CMP 363): 
Though Stock is in sell mode, it is finding support at lower levels. Till 355 holds, expect the stock to move up towards 400 zone. Below 
355, stock would resume its downtrend towards 330 zone. 
 
ZEE LTD (CMP 263): 
Stock is in Buy mode along with RSI showing positive divergence at lower levels. Till 256 holds, expect the stock to move up towards 282 
zone. Below 256, stock would resume its downtrend towards 230 zone. 


Saturday, 10 May 2014

Emerging Opportunities: International Funds

https://www.facebook.com/dhairyalevels

International funds are those funds which invest into one or more markets or companies outside India as against the pure domestic funds which invest into the stocks of companies in India. International funds not only bring diversification to the portfolio of domestic investors but also help reduce the risk of investing into a single market or a particular country in a significant way. Investment in global equities complements domestic equities due to the low correlation leading to diversification benefits.

The actual benefits of international investing may be categorized as follows:

Asset Class Perspective: One of the ways to seek portfolio diversification is to invest across geographies. Investing in countries other than the home country can help reduce the risk associated with investment in a single country (risk is spread across companies, sectors and countries), and can also provide an opportunity to tap growth potential of different geographic regions, for example, US, Europe, Asia Pacific etc.

Currency Perspective: The Rupee depreciated by 13 per cent in 2013 and this helped the international funds to perform well. Rupee over a longer period of time has generally depreciated. This may benefit international funds if they are held for a longer period of time.

Country Risk Perspective: An opportunity to position the portfolio in such a way that if Indian markets fail to give returns-outperformance of international equities could reduce the country risk.

Low Correlation: Investing in low correlated assets helps to protect a portfolio from volatility and improves risk/reward ratio of a portfolio. Historically, International equity markets have low correlation with Indian equity market and thereby provide an opportunity for diversification.

Exposure to companies not available in India: Investors get exposure to international companies having global presence and run by quality management teams, for example, Facebook, Google, British Petroleum, GSK, Walmart, etc.

International funds may invest into a particular country or may invest into different countries according to the theme and objective of the fund. For example – Franklin Asian Equity Fund invests primarily in Asian Companies/sectors (excluding Japan) while Mirae Asset China Advantage Fund invests into companies domiciled in or having their area of primary activity in China and Hong Kong. These funds may directly invest into foreign stocks or invest into units of an international fund (fund of funds) which invests into foreign stocks. FT India Feeder - Franklin U.S. Opportunities Fund is a fund of fund which invests into units of Franklin U. S. Opportunities Fund while ICICI Pru US Bluechip Equity Fund directly invests into companies listed on New York Stock Exchange and/or NASDAQ. One can also invest into International funds which follow a particular theme or sector like agriculture, energy, gold, mining etc., like DSPBR World Mining Fund, DSPBR World Energy Fund and PineBridge World Gold Fund.

When we invest into domestic mutual funds there are standard risk factors associated with such funds like liquidity risk, risk due to investments into equity and equity related instruments, interest rate risk, etc. These risks are dependent on macro economic factors pertaining to the domestic country like growth, inflation, interest rates, fiscal and monetary policies etc. Apart from the standard risks associated with investments into international funds, there are other risks like currency risk, country risk, unexpected changes in foreign government regulations, etc. Currency risk is one of the main factors affecting the returns of the fund as the fund invests in overseas mutual fund or foreign securities and since the money is deployed in securities denominated in foreign currencies, the Indian Rupee equivalent of the net assets, distributions and income may be adversely affected by fluctuations in the value of the foreign currencies relative to the Indian Rupee. If the Rupee depreciates against the USD, the value of the fund increases and if the Rupee appreciates relative to the USD, the fund will see some losses.

For example: Following is the investment path if invested into an international feeder funds




The Rupee depreciated to Rs. 68 levels against the Dollar in August 2013, from Rs. 56 levels in June 2013. (Refer Chart 1) This depreciation in the domestic unit led to substantial gains in the portfolios of international funds investing in U.S. equities. The funds have generated returns in a range of 18-25 per cent during June-August 2013 period largely helped by the sharp fall in the Rupee.

Chart 1: Rupee and International Funds (June-September, 2013)



During the October 13 - March 14 the Rupee appreciated against the Dollar and stabilized in the range of 59-63 levels. (Refer Chart 2) In this period the returns on the funds were marginally positive ranging between 2-8 per cent. The positive returns were mainly due to the improved economic conditions and outlook in the U.S.

Chart 2: Rupee and International funds (October 13 –March 2014)


Performance of Select International Funds

The year 2013 was not a smooth one for the Indian economy as we faced a number of challenges, such as a slow economic growth, high inflation, weak currency and the tapering announcement by US Fed which led to a rout in the emerging markets. If we look at the global equity markets in 2013, the developed markets like US, Germany, UK and Japan outperformed the emerging markets due to improvement in their domestic economy while India and other emerging markets saw relatively poor returns. To stem the currency depreciation last year most of the emerging economies hiked their base rates and introduced limited capital controls to reduce the currency linked damages.

Germany has been the bellwether of Europe as its economy has been growing strongly due to its exports, and UK also avoided a double recession as its service industries and domestic consumption has picked up. There is tangible and visible economic recovery happening in Europe and the US. Economic growth momentum is slowly returning due to the massive quantitative easing programs undertaken by the central banks. Sentiment indicators and consumer confidence indicators signal a sustainable recovery. As economic recovery gathers pace the earnings growth of companies and businesses also will go up along with the overall economic recovery. Euroland equities had moved down in the early part of 2013 and the recovery or rebound started happening from the second US economic growth was due to improvement half of 2013. in housing sector, domestic demand, unemployment rate coming down to a 3 yr low in Dec as corporates and private sector continued to add jobs. Inflation also remained benign as US saw record production of shale oil and gas, making it less dependent on imports. Japanese economy grew on the back of massive fiscal stimulus launched by Mr. Shinzo Abe (newly elected PM of Japan) and policy reforms to boost the economy.

Many developed economies are bottoming out and are expected to perform well. It is advisable to invest into international funds but with a proper understanding of the risk and return matrix for the country or theme that one plans to invest into. Investors looking to diversify within equity space may invest into international funds to reduce volatility and generate alpha. But one should always remember the currency risk involved and the returns may be impacted depending on how the domestic currency behaves in relation to the foreign currency. International funds should not occupy more than 5-10 per cent of the overall portfolio to avoid over exposure.





Friday, 9 May 2014

CONFUSED FOR ELECTION????MODI OR RAHUL??OHHHH SAD PLEASE READ BELOW GIVEN PAIRS...THEY DONT WANT ANY OF THEM HAHAHAH~~~!!!

ADANIPOWER 42.50 PUT BUY @ 2.45 + ADANIPOWER 60 CALL BUY @ 2.80 
CMP 48.90

BUY SBIN 2300 CALL @85 + BUY SBIN 2000 PUT @ 80

CMP 2162

BUY LT 1400 CALL AT 57 + BUY LT 1300 PUT AT 57
CMP 1342

PPL THINKING WHO WILL COME AS PM RAHUL OR MODI???


ABV I METIONED CALL PUT PAIRS FOR SOME STOCKS I WILL ADD MORE STOCKS TO THE LIST AS WILL GET TIME.


AND,


I DONT KNOW  THAT MODI WILL COME OR RAHUL WILL COME  BUT MONEY WILL COME ALWAYS TRADE IN PAIRS~~!!!!



WHAT EVER YOU EARN FROM MY CALLS PLEASE GIVE 10% PROFIT'S FOOD TO COWS AND DOGS HELP THM GOD WILL HELP YOU-!!!

Thursday, 8 May 2014

'Currency Arbitrage'

Dear All ,

Please find the Below Price Gap , All Currency Pairs















USD


GBP



OTC (FORWARD)
MCX-SX (FUTURES)
Diff OF


OTC (FORWARD)
MCX-SX       (FUTURES)
Diff OF       OTC & SX


OTC & SX


28-May
60.27
60.18
0.09

28-May
102.15
102.02
0.13


26-Jun
60.68
60.51
0.17

26-Jun
102.81
102.58
0.23


29-Jul
61.07
60.86
0.21

29-Jul
-
-
-














EUR


JPY



OTC (FORWARD)
MCX-SX (FUTURES)
Diff OF       OTC & SX


OTC (FORWARD)
MCX-SX (FUTURES)
Diff OF       OTC & SX




28-May
83.86
83.76
0.1

28-May
59.16
59.11
0.05


26-Jun
84.41
84.2
0.21

26-Jun
59.58
59.45
0.13


29-Jul
-
-
-

29-Jul
-
-
-

USD
 OTC (FORWARD)MCX-SX (FUTURES) Diff OF
OTC & SX 
28-May60.2760.180.09
26-Jun60.6860.510.17
29-Jul61.0760.860.21
EUR
 OTC (FORWARD)MCX-SX (FUTURES) Diff OF       OTC & SX 
28-May83.8683.760.1
26-Jun84.4184.20.21
29-Jul---
GBP
 OTC (FORWARD)MCX-SX       (FUTURES)Diff OF       OTC & SX 
28-May102.15102.020.13
26-Jun102.81102.580.23
29-Jul---
JPY 
 OTC (FORWARD)MCX-SX (FUTURES) Diff OF       OTC & SX 
28-May59.1659.110.05
26-Jun59.5859.450.13
29-Jul---

Definition of 'Currency Arbitrage'



A forex strategy in which a currency trader takes advantage of different spreads offered by brokers for a particular currency pair by making trades. Different spreads for a currency pair imply disparities between the bid and ask prices. Currency arbitrage involves buying and selling currency pairs from different brokers to take advantage of this disparity.

For example, two different banks (Bank A and Bank B) offer quotes for the US/EUR currency pair. Bank A sets the rate at 3/2 dollars per euro, and Bank B sets its rate at 4/3 dollars per euro. In currency arbitrage, the trader would take one euro, convert that into dollars with Bank A and then back into euros with Bank B. The end result is that the trader who started with one euro now has 9/8 euro. The trader has made a 1/8 euro profit if trading fees are not taken into account.

WHAT EVER YOU EARN FROM MY CALLS PLEASE GIVE 10% PROFIT'S FOOD TO COWS AND DOGS HELP THM GOD WILL HELP YOU-!!!

MONNETISPAT BUY??

BUY MONNETISPAT@____?? SL____?TGT______??

MAY TGT IS DBBL TRRIPLE HAHAHA????

ARE YOU INTRSTED TO KNW THE DETAILS????

FEEL FREE TO CONTACT

Abhishek_kalra95@yahoo.com

WHAT EVER YOU EARN FROM MY CALLS PLEASE GIVE 10% PROFIT'S FOOD TO COWS AND DOGS HELP THM GOD WILL HELP YOU-!!!

TATAELXSI BUY???????

HAVING SUPPRT ARND 520 LEVELS CMP 540 CAN TOUCH 588--628--658



WHAT EVER YOU EARN FROM MY CALLS PLEASE GIVE 10% PROFIT'S FOOD TO COWS AND DOGS HELP THM GOD WILL HELP YOU-!!!

Wednesday, 7 May 2014

Follow on facebook also

https://www.facebook.com/dhairyalevels

WHAT EVER YOU EARN FROM MY CALLS PLEASE GIVE 10% PROFIT'S FOOD TO COWS AND DOGS HELP THM GOD WILL HELP YOU-!!!

Strategy for Hedging against Political Uncertainty 07th May 2014

Portfolio HEDGE Strategy against Political Uncertainty

Current stock market rally is being fuelled due to FII money pou
ring into India and possibilities of a Strong Government coming
in power at the center; any other outcome can lead to a selloff in market.
Two Outcomes possible post election

1) On the expectation of a strong government coming into Power, the rally may continue; upside will surely be limited in the
short term. Market has already considered strong NDA led g
overnment coming in power, therefore the up move if NDA
comes to power will be short lived.

2) Markets is concerned about the emergence of fractured man
date or third front parties putting numbers together, may result
in the selloff.

Since we are entering a Volatile Market Period, Hedging of Exis
ting Portfolio is a very important; like taking an Insurance
policy. Buy a ‘Put Option’ is the simplest way to Hedge. Due to r
ising VIX Premiums, Buying Option are very expensive, so we
recommend following strategy to Hedge Portfolio.

Buy 2 lot of 6700 PE @ 220

Sell 1 lot of 6300 PE @ 81
Sell 1 lot of 6400 PE @ 108

Scenario Analysis

This strategy will reduce the cost of Hedging to 11,500 Rs., for 2 lots, (i.e. 7 lakh value contract), margin requirement to sell options can be given
through Stock portfolio.

How will this help

If strong government comes to power on expected lines NIFTY does moves up, your portfolio growth will only be effected by 1.7% (cost of
Hedging).

On other hand, if any fall in market, strategy will help you maintain your portfolio value higher than the value that should be at that level, as shown in
scenario table, if NIFTY falls to 6300, portfolio without hedging would be 6.3 lakh, whereas with Hedging would be 6520500.

How much to hedge

This question can be answered if you known the beta of your portfolio (i.e. how much your portfolio moves if NIFTY moves by 1%).

Usually high beta stocks have a higher beta, Defensive Portfolio have a lower Beta

For Example,

If you have a portfolio of 1 Cr., which has a mix of Defensive and High Beta stocks, over all we assume Beta of Portfolio is near to 1, that means to
hedge entire portfolio you will have to do 15 lots of above strategy ( NIFTY 2 contract value is 7 lakh).


So a net investment of Rs 12,500 per lot, so for 15 lots 1,87,500 i.e. 1.80% of the total Portfolio will be required to Hedge the entire portfolio.

WHAT EVER YOU EARN FROM MY CALLS PLEASE GIVE 10% PROFIT'S FOOD TO COWS AND DOGS HELP THM GOD WILL HELP YOU-!!!

Tuesday, 6 May 2014

NeoWave Analysis of Nifty cash  Daily wave chart  Date : 6th May, 2014



Conclusions:

1. From the end of wave (f), a “Double Combination” pattern is anticipated which consists of 
“Zigzag” and “Contracting Triangle with reverse alteration”. Currently, wave E of “Contracting 
Triangle with reverse alteration” may be progressing. 

2. Time wise, wave E of “Contracting Triangle with reverse alteration” may consume 2-4 days, that 
is, the whole pattern may get completed on or before 12th May 2014. 

3. Price wise, the wave E may move up till 6795-6830 area and may end in this mentioned area. 

4. The “Contracting Triangle with reverse alteration” is a five leg pattern and wave E will be its last 
leg of the pattern. The completion of wave E may open index for downward move and the fall is 
expected to be minimum of 450 points which may get completed before end of May 2014. 

5. In case, if index crosses above 6875 then the expected fall will get negated. 

6. If index falls below 6680 then wave D is still incomplete. In any case, the index should not breach 
below 6650 before completion of wave E since it will invalidate the whole pattern. 

7. The important levels to watch during next 2-3 days are support area of 6690-6680 and resistance 
area of 6795-6830. 

WHAT EVER YOU EARN FROM MY CALLS PLEASE GIVE 10% PROFIT'S FOOD TO COWS AND DOGS HELP THM GOD WILL HELP YOU-!!!