NYMEX crude jan CMP 36.30): From the above daily chart of Nymex Crude, we can see prices took the support of (T1) trend line at 34.53 levels and bounced sharply. In MACD indicator we can see a positive divergence where it has made higher lows and prices made lower lows in the same period of time, which signals a short term bounce in prices. The higher end of the falling channel is around 43/44$ levels, which will act as strong resistance for the short to medium term. Meanwhile prices still remained below the 21 (EMA), which comes around 39.60 and when it comes to MACD the moving averages are still below the zero line suggesting bearishness. Only a cross above the zero line would indicate bullishness in prices. Favored view NYMEX Crude Jan: From the above analysis we suggest buying around 36.30/35.60 $ range for the targets of 40.50 and 43.50 $, with a stop loss of 32.30 on a daily closing basis. Only a break above 43/44 $ levels we could see the rally to continue towards the levels of 48 and 50 $. Daily Report – Equity In MCX Crude Jan (CMP 2500), we suggest buying around 2500 followed by on dips to 2470 and please follow stop loss according to NYMEX level given above and for the targets also follow NYMEX.
Wednesday, 16 December 2015
Tuesday, 1 December 2015
comex gold cmp 1070$ will it kiss 2000$????
COMEX GOLD FEB CMP 1070 : FROM THE ABOVE WEEKLY CHART WE CAN SEE PRICES ARE MOVING IN A CHANNEL FROM THE PAST TWO YEARS AND RECENTLY PRICES HAVE TAKEN SUPPORT AT THE LOWER CHANNEL (TI) AND PRICES ARE BOUNCING HIGHER AFTER MAKING A LOW OF $1051.1 IN MACD ALSO WE CAN SEE THERE IS A POSITIVE DIVERGENCE IN MAKING WHICH COULD GET CONFIRMED ONCE PRICES MOVES ABOVE $1100. FROM JUST FOLLOWING THE CHANNEL, WE GET A TARGET OF UPPER CHANNEL, WHICH IS AROUND $1200. ONCE PRICES CROSS THIS YEAR’S HIGH AT $1308 WE CAN SAY PRICES COULD GO TOWARDS 1550 IN LONG TERM AND IT COULD HAVE A POTENTIAL TO MAKE A NEW HIGH TOWARDS $2000 ALSO. FROM THE DAILY CHART ALSO WE CAN SEE A POSITIVE DIVERGENCE IN MACD WHICH HAS BEEN CONFIRMED AND ALSO THERE IS AN ENDING DIAGONAL PATTERN WHICH PRICES HAVE BROKEN ON THE HIGHER SIDE SO IN TERM WE COULD SEE A BOUNCE HIGHER TOWARDS $1140/$1150 ZONES.
VIEW:- FROM THE ABOVE ANALYSIS WE SUGGEST TO BUY COMEX GOLD AT CMP 1070 FOR SHORT TERM TARGET AT $1140--$1150 ZONES AND FOR THOSE WHO WANT TO TRADE FOR MEDIUM TERM TP LONG TERM THIS COULD BE THE RIGHT TIME TO BUY FOR TARGETS OF $1200,$1300,$1550 AND $2000.FROM INVESTMENT PRESPECTIVE, ALSO GOLD LOOKS A GREAT BUY FROM CURRENT LEVELS, RISK FOR THIS VIEW WILL BE AT A CLOSE BELOW 1050 OR IF ANYONE CAN KEEP A BIGGER STOP, THEY CAN KEEP AT A CLOSE BELOW 1000. IN DOMESTIC MARKET, ONE CAN BUY GOLD AT CMP 25400 AND FOLLOW COMEX LEVELS FOR STOP LOSS AND TRAGETS GIVEN ABOVE. AT CURRENT LEVELS, THIS STRATEGY MAKES A GOOD SENSE BECAUSE OF FREAT RISK TO REWARD RATIO AS WE ARE RISKING $20 FOR A SMALL STOP AND EVEN IF WE KEEP A BIGGER STOP IT COMES TO AROUND $70.
WHAT EVER YOU EARN FROM MY CALLS PLEASE GIVE 10% PROFIT'S FOOD TO COWS AND DOGS HELP THM GOD WILL HELP YOU-!!!
VIEW:- FROM THE ABOVE ANALYSIS WE SUGGEST TO BUY COMEX GOLD AT CMP 1070 FOR SHORT TERM TARGET AT $1140--$1150 ZONES AND FOR THOSE WHO WANT TO TRADE FOR MEDIUM TERM TP LONG TERM THIS COULD BE THE RIGHT TIME TO BUY FOR TARGETS OF $1200,$1300,$1550 AND $2000.FROM INVESTMENT PRESPECTIVE, ALSO GOLD LOOKS A GREAT BUY FROM CURRENT LEVELS, RISK FOR THIS VIEW WILL BE AT A CLOSE BELOW 1050 OR IF ANYONE CAN KEEP A BIGGER STOP, THEY CAN KEEP AT A CLOSE BELOW 1000. IN DOMESTIC MARKET, ONE CAN BUY GOLD AT CMP 25400 AND FOLLOW COMEX LEVELS FOR STOP LOSS AND TRAGETS GIVEN ABOVE. AT CURRENT LEVELS, THIS STRATEGY MAKES A GOOD SENSE BECAUSE OF FREAT RISK TO REWARD RATIO AS WE ARE RISKING $20 FOR A SMALL STOP AND EVEN IF WE KEEP A BIGGER STOP IT COMES TO AROUND $70.
WHAT EVER YOU EARN FROM MY CALLS PLEASE GIVE 10% PROFIT'S FOOD TO COWS AND DOGS HELP THM GOD WILL HELP YOU-!!!
Tuesday, 23 June 2015
HELP SOMEONE GOD WILL HELP YOU--- http://madadkar.webs.com/
SALUTE THEM BCS THEY DESERVE IT...!!
comments (0) |
DEAR ALL,
WHEN ALL PEOPLE WERE SITTING AT HOME CHILLING AND HAVING GARAM GARAM PAKODA WITH TEA COFFEEEEE
WHEN SOME PEOPLE WERE ENJOYING RAIN FROM WINDOWS LOOKING OUTSIDE
WHEN SOME WERE CALLING THR FAMILY MEMBERS WHERE ARE YOU PAPA ???HEY BRO WHERE ARE YOU??HEY SIS WHERE REACHED?? HEY MOM COMING WHEN ITS HEAVLY RAINING PLEASE COME FAST HOME AND ALL.
THAT TIME THESE POLICEMEN WERE HELPING TO PUBLIC IN DANGER AREAS...
WHAT YOU THINK THEY DONT HAVE FAMILY??? THEY HAVE BUT THEY WERE ON DUTY THAT TIME AND I THINK THEY ARE GIVING THR 1000000%%%%%%
THATS WHY ALWAYS SAY-------->>>
HELP SOMEONE ONE DAY GOD WILL HELP YOU
MADAD KAR BANDE KAL PARSO TERI BHI KOI KAREGA
MUMBAI POLICE I SALUTE YOU WITH TWO HANDS
FOR PICTURES PLEASE CLICK-- http://madadkar.webs.com/apps/blog/
BOLE SO NIHAAAL SATSRIYAKAAL
comments (0) |
SIKH LANGAR SERVING FOOD TO STRANDED PASSENGERS AT DADAR YESTRDAY.
SALUTE THE SARDARS ALWAYS READY TO SERVE HUMANITY DURING CALAMITIES ITS EASY TO FOWAD SANTA BANTA JOKES BUT TAKE COURAGE TO SPREAD HUMANITY DEEDS......
WAHEGURU JI KA KHALSA WAHE GURU JI KI FATEH
HELP SOMEONE GOD WILL HELP YOU
FOR PICTURES PLEASE CLICK-- http://madadkar.webs.com/apps/blog/
Wednesday, 3 June 2015
http://madadkar.webs.com/ --- must visit and share :)
Helloo everyone,
I always go from roads,stations,buildings,schools,everywhere i notice many birds,animals,poor childs,homeless people,hungry people they always waiting for someone's help and i feel so sad about them as i can not help them all but thought once if i will share all of us helping way here in pictures and stories so that more people will notice about helpless persons or animals and may be they will help them.
You tell me please any dog can ask you for water or food??can cow speak?? did you ever noticed crow crying??birds in pain?? they can not speak but we all have a heart to feel anything near by us so we can help them.
cant we give one blanket to any poor in winters???
cant we play holi in ashram or andhvidhyalay with all the homeless or blinds??
cant we give books colours pen pencils to poor childs??to help them in study??
cant we share some food with poors???
cant we give our old cloths to poors??
yes we can bosss you me us we can do this and make them feel happy :)
they dont love money they just hungry for your help do it as much as you can trust me one day god will help you for sure :)
When your friend or BF or GF or MOM DAD or Any relative don;t help you in anything how helpless you feel that time??? just imagine about them they also feel the same pain when they become alone & helpless so we should help them in anyway.
I dont have that much money to help all of them so making this website to reach to all of you so that we can help together :)
In any work we need team work then only we can achive it so i need all of you as a team to help everywhere everyone yes we can do it and we will do it cheerrss....!!!!
Please do it from today and if you are already doing this good work then please share your pictures and story with us @ madadkarr@gmail.com so that we can tell to others about your helping way its not for showoff its just for telling people see we can also do this thats it
Read all the helping ways stories in BLOG http://madadkar.webs.com/apps/blog/
HELP SONE ONE ONE DAY GOD WILL HELP YOU :)
Thanks All,
AVI
http://madadkar.webs.com/
I always go from roads,stations,buildings,schools,everywhere i notice many birds,animals,poor childs,homeless people,hungry people they always waiting for someone's help and i feel so sad about them as i can not help them all but thought once if i will share all of us helping way here in pictures and stories so that more people will notice about helpless persons or animals and may be they will help them.
You tell me please any dog can ask you for water or food??can cow speak?? did you ever noticed crow crying??birds in pain?? they can not speak but we all have a heart to feel anything near by us so we can help them.
cant we give one blanket to any poor in winters???
cant we play holi in ashram or andhvidhyalay with all the homeless or blinds??
cant we give books colours pen pencils to poor childs??to help them in study??
cant we share some food with poors???
cant we give our old cloths to poors??
yes we can bosss you me us we can do this and make them feel happy :)
they dont love money they just hungry for your help do it as much as you can trust me one day god will help you for sure :)
When your friend or BF or GF or MOM DAD or Any relative don;t help you in anything how helpless you feel that time??? just imagine about them they also feel the same pain when they become alone & helpless so we should help them in anyway.
I dont have that much money to help all of them so making this website to reach to all of you so that we can help together :)
In any work we need team work then only we can achive it so i need all of you as a team to help everywhere everyone yes we can do it and we will do it cheerrss....!!!!
Please do it from today and if you are already doing this good work then please share your pictures and story with us @ madadkarr@gmail.com so that we can tell to others about your helping way its not for showoff its just for telling people see we can also do this thats it
Read all the helping ways stories in BLOG http://madadkar.webs.com/apps/blog/
HELP SONE ONE ONE DAY GOD WILL HELP YOU :)
Thanks All,
AVI
http://madadkar.webs.com/
RBI’S CREDIT POLICY – 2nd June 2015…
·
Repo
Rate – The repo rate
under the liquidity adjustment facility (LAF) has been cut by 25 bps to
7.25%.
·
Reverse
repo rate & MSF –
Consequently, the reverse repo rate under the LAF has been cut by 25 bps to
6.25% with marginal standing facility (MSF) rate and the Bank Rate at 8.25%.
·
Cash
Reserve Ratio – The
CRR of scheduled banks has been retained unchanged at 4.0% of their net
demand and time liabilities (NDTL).
·
Statutory
Liquidity Ratio – The
SLR has been retained unchanged at 21.5% of their net demand and time
liabilities (NDTL).
Key Takeaways
from RBI policy
RBI has cut the repo rate by 25 bps to 7.25%
in line with consensus estimate. This is the third rate cut in this year
cumulating to the total of 75 bps cut. The rationale given by RBI for this rate
cut was the i) low domestic capacity utilisation, ii) mixed indicators of
recovery, and iii) subdued investment & credit growth. It felt that it was
better to front load the rate cut. However, the policy statement was more on a
hawkish side as CPI projected by RBI was raised from 5.8% to 6% by January
2016. RBI is cautious that inflation may again start inching higher post August
as the base effect wanes off. Governor has categorically mentioned that it has
front loaded this rate cut and future rate cuts shall be data dependent. RBI
sounded cautious on future data on account of i) below average monsoon
prediction by MET, ii) higher crude price and iii) volatility in external
environment. RBI also expects the banks to pass on the benefit of this repo
rate cut by lowering their base rate which is negative for banking sector.
Outlook
Although RBI has cut the repo rate, majority
of statements were hawkish in nature. RBI has projected CPI of 6% by January
2016 while it is targeting the real interest rate (difference between the CPI
and repo rate) in the range of 1.5-2%. With repo rate at 7.25% now, we believe
that CPI shall stay at 5.5% of sub 5.5% for further rate cuts. We believe that
interest rate policy will be on a halt till September post which CPI data will
be a crucial factor. RBI is in the process of building the framework for banks
to use the marginal cost of funding for calculating their base rate. In current
downward trending interest rate scenario, the marginal cost of funding method
shall be negative for banking sector as the base rate revision is faster. While
the benefit of lower cost of fund is accrued gradually over the period of time
as deposits are re-priced but the adverse impact of lower base rate is
immediate. One can use this correction as an opportunity to buy the good
quality private sector banks and NBFCs having steady earnings growth
trajectory. Our preferred picks include Yes Bank, Indusind Bank, ICICI Bank,
HDFC Bank, HDFC Ltd and Dewan Housing Finance.
WHAT EVER YOU EARN FROM MY CALLS PLEASE GIVE 10% PROFIT'S FOOD TO COWS AND DOGS HELP THM GOD WILL HELP YOU-!!!
Tuesday, 2 June 2015
RBI POLICY CAME NOW WHAT TO DO IN NIFTY AND BANKNIFTY????
BUY NIFTY SPOT IN 8280-8290 RANGE SL 8248 SPOT LEVELS
BUY BANKNIFTY SPOT AROUND 18200-18260 SL 17990 TGT OPEN
WHAT EVER YOU EARN FROM MY CALLS PLEASE GIVE 10% PROFIT'S FOOD TO COWS AND DOGS HELP THM GOD WILL HELP YOU-!!!
BUY BANKNIFTY SPOT AROUND 18200-18260 SL 17990 TGT OPEN
WHAT EVER YOU EARN FROM MY CALLS PLEASE GIVE 10% PROFIT'S FOOD TO COWS AND DOGS HELP THM GOD WILL HELP YOU-!!!
RBI Policy likely to announce today i.e. on 02-06-2015 around 11:00 AM
Check the Definition.
WHAT IS CRR:
Cash reserve Ratio (CRR) is the amount of funds that the banks have to keep with RBI. If RBI decides to increase the percent of this, the available amount with the banks comes down. RBI is using this method (increase of CRR rate), to drain out the excessive money from the banks.
WHAT IS Repo Rate:
Repo rate is the rate at which our banks borrow rupees from RBI. Whenever the banks have any shortage of funds they can borrow it from RBI. A reduction in the repo rate will help banks to get money at a cheaper rate. When the repo rate increases, borrowing from RBI becomes more expensive.
WHAT IS Reverse Repo Rate:
This is exact opposite of Repo rate. Reverse Repo rate is the rate at which Reserve Bank of India (RBI) borrows money from banks. RBI uses this tool when it feels there is too much money floating in the banking system. Banks are always happy to lend money to RBI since their money is in safe hands with a good interest. An increase in Reverse repo rate can cause the banks to transfer more funds to RBI due to this attractive interest rates.
WHAT EVER YOU EARN FROM MY CALLS PLEASE GIVE 10% PROFIT'S FOOD TO COWS AND DOGS HELP THM GOD WILL HELP YOU-!!!
WHAT IS CRR:
Cash reserve Ratio (CRR) is the amount of funds that the banks have to keep with RBI. If RBI decides to increase the percent of this, the available amount with the banks comes down. RBI is using this method (increase of CRR rate), to drain out the excessive money from the banks.
WHAT IS Repo Rate:
Repo rate is the rate at which our banks borrow rupees from RBI. Whenever the banks have any shortage of funds they can borrow it from RBI. A reduction in the repo rate will help banks to get money at a cheaper rate. When the repo rate increases, borrowing from RBI becomes more expensive.
WHAT IS Reverse Repo Rate:
This is exact opposite of Repo rate. Reverse Repo rate is the rate at which Reserve Bank of India (RBI) borrows money from banks. RBI uses this tool when it feels there is too much money floating in the banking system. Banks are always happy to lend money to RBI since their money is in safe hands with a good interest. An increase in Reverse repo rate can cause the banks to transfer more funds to RBI due to this attractive interest rates.
WHAT EVER YOU EARN FROM MY CALLS PLEASE GIVE 10% PROFIT'S FOOD TO COWS AND DOGS HELP THM GOD WILL HELP YOU-!!!
Friday, 29 May 2015
Adjustment of Futures and Options contracts in the security Adani Enterprises Limited (ADANIENT)
Adani
Enterprises Limited has informed the Exchange that it has received certified
copies of the Order of the Hon’ble High Court, Gujarat, sanctioning the
Composite Scheme of Arrangement between Adani Enterprises Limited (AEL), Adani
Ports and Special Economic Zone (APSEZ), Adani Power Ltd (APL), Adani
Transmission Ltd. (ATL) and Adani Mining Private Limited (AMPL) and their
respective Shareholders and Creditors pursuant to the provisions of Section 391
to 394 and the other provisions of the Companies Act, 1956 and the Companies
Act, 2013.
Accordingly, the
Company has fixed June 04, 2015 as the Record Date for the purpose of Scheme of
Arrangement & Demerger.
Ex-date : June 03,
2015
Upon the Scheme has
come into effect and in consideration of the transfer and vesting of the Port
Undertaking, Power Undertaking and Transmission Undertaking of AEL in APSEZ,
APL and ATL respectively, in terms of the Scheme, the equity shareholders of
AEL whose names appear in the Register of Members of AEL as on the Record Date
i.e. 4th June 2015 will be allotted –
·
14,123 (fourteen
thousand one hundred twenty three) equity shares in APSEZ of Rs. 2/- each
credited as fully paid-up for every 10,000 (ten thousand) equity shares of Re.
1/- each fully paid-up held by such equity shareholder in AEL.
·
18,596 (eighteen
thousand five hundred ninety six) equity shares in APL of Rs. 10/- each
credited as fully paid-up for every 10,000 (ten thousand) equity shares of Re.
1/- each fully paid-up held by such equity shareholder in AEL.
·
1 (one) equity
share in ATL of Rs. 10/- each credited as fully paid-up for every 1 (one)
equity share of Re. 1/- each fully paid-up held by such equity shareholder in
AEL.
The following
adjustments shall be carried out on the Futures and Options contracts of
ADANIENT:
Fresh
month contracts will not be introduced for the expiry month August 2015 on the
expiration of May 2015 contracts.
All
existing contracts i.e. contracts with expiry dates June 25, 2015 and July 30,
2015 will expire on June 02, 2015.
Derivatives
contracts on ADANIENT shall be introduced again (with expiry dates June 25,
2015, July 30, 2015 and August 27, 2015) from June 03, 2015 being the ex-date
of the underlying. The list of option strikes from which specific strike prices
would be made available for trading on June 03, 2015 shall be intimated.
Friday, 15 May 2015
Now those who say which stocks to buy.. Here comes the list of companies to buy
Now those who say which stocks to buy.. Here comes the list of companies to buy
HAHAHAH THINGS ARE NEAR US BUT WE FORGET IT AND CALL ON CNBC AND TIPS PROVIDERS SIR WHAT CAN I BUY??? LOL HAHHAAH SEE THE BELOW TWO IMAGES AND FORGET TO ASK :)
WHAT EVER YOU EARN FROM MY CALLS PLEASE GIVE 10% PROFIT'S FOOD TO COWS AND DOGS HELP THM GOD WILL HELP YOU-!!!
HAHAHAH THINGS ARE NEAR US BUT WE FORGET IT AND CALL ON CNBC AND TIPS PROVIDERS SIR WHAT CAN I BUY??? LOL HAHHAAH SEE THE BELOW TWO IMAGES AND FORGET TO ASK :)
WHAT EVER YOU EARN FROM MY CALLS PLEASE GIVE 10% PROFIT'S FOOD TO COWS AND DOGS HELP THM GOD WILL HELP YOU-!!!
Rate cut is a high probability event.......In the light of our expectations we enlist some of our top stock ideas which will directly or indirectly benefit from a low interest rate environment.
Dear All,
India has been plagued by high inflation for years. Its only since the second half of 2014, did we see inflation coming down consistently. Both the CPI and the WPI have been trending down since May 2014, the former a bit unevenly, and the latter consistently. The WPI has, in fact, been negative for six months in a row, and average wholesale inflation for the last 12 months is a 1.3%. The IIP in 2014-15 showed a modest revival over the year before (2013-14), but the industry is still struggling under an overload of past debt. Till this overload is lifted, it (i.e. the industry) cannot run faster and contribute to GDP growth. While RBI has its own sets of worries and data points to look at (like the US 10 Year Yield, CAD & Fisc situation, amongst others), right now growth is a bigger challenge than inflation and therefore the Government and the RBI needs to act fast.
Given the latest print on both CPI and WPI, the case for
interest rate in the next policy meet (2 June, 2015) has become very strong. Given the various macro economic variables, we believe that a series of
rate cuts over the next few quarters cannot be ruled out. While an immediate rate
cut is a high probability event, subsequent rate cuts though will be to some
extent contingent on variables highlighted above.
In the light of our expectations we enlist some of our
top stock ideas which will directly or indirectly benefit from a low interest
rate environment.
·
Indusind bank (CMP Rs834.0) is one of the major beneficiary of downward
trending interest rate trajectory as it relies heavily on bulk deposits.
Majority of its deposits mature within 1 year which places the bank in a
sweet spot in terms of lower cost of re-financing its deposits. Also, its 50%
of retail book is fixed rate wherein yield pressure will be less. Overall, its
NIM is set to improve from 3.7% now to ~3.9% which shall support healthy NII
growth and 25%+ PAT growth for next couple of years. Valuation reasonable at
3.5x FY16E ABV for the bank with strong 1.9% RoA.
·
Dewan Housing finance (CMP Rs 434.2)- The borrowing mix of
Dewan housing constitutes 61% in form of bank loans, 28% is Bonds, 8% is FDs
and 3% is NHB. With interest rate trending south, Dewan has the higher lever to
shift its borrowing mix from bank loans to bond which shall reduce its overall
cost of fund. Also, the cut in base rate by banks shall keep its cost of fund
under check. Besides, lower EMI shall translate into higher credit growth
volume (20%+ expected till FY17E). Overall, steady PAT growth of 18-20%
expected. Valuation cheap at 1.2x FY16E ABV.
·
L&T: (CMP Rs 1584) liquidity crunch and slow pace of execution has led
to deterioration of the company’s NWC to 25% of revenues one of the
highest levels witnessed. Secondly, L&T gives away lot of work on
sub-contract basis and any rate cuts going forward will ease the pressure of
the sub-contractor (most of them under working capital stress) which in turn
will indirectly benefit the company as well. Interest rate cuts will therefore
lead to huge savings for the company and boost its profitability.
·
Kajaria Ceramics (CMP Rs 766): Indirect play on real estate sector. Housing
sector will be one of the key beneficiary of rate cut, as EMI outgo for house
aspirants reduces leading to increase in affordability. The increase in demand
for housing will directly drive demand for ancillary industries like tiles and
sanitaryware. Kajaria is market leader in vitrified tiles. Tiles industry is
likely to grow by 15% in FY16E and we expect Kajaria to outgrow the industry
growth by 250-300 bps. Currently, trading at consensus P/E of 28x and 22x FY16E
and FY17E (Source: Bloomberg).
·
Ashok Leyland (CMP: Rs 70.3): Play on demand recovery for CVs, which is
directly the function of recovery in mining activities (coal and minerals
mining) and urban public transport. Moreover, any rate cut will lead to lower
cost of ownership for CV owner and will make logistic/transport industry attractive.
Majority of the CV business is on finance. Industry volumes are likely to grow
by 10-15% in FY16E and the company is likely to outperform the industry growth.
Currently, trading at consensus P/E of 28x and 17x FY16E and FY17E
(Source: Bloomberg).
·
Dalmia Bharat Ltd (CMP: Rs 501): DBL is the 3rd largest cement
player in India with capacity of 24.5 mn tonnes. The company’s profitability
were under pressure till FY15 due to weak cement uptake and realization in
Southern markets. DBL gets majority of the sales from Southern region. With
likely improvement in pickup in infrastructure and housing activity, especially
in Andhra region, coupled with cost optimization measures initiated by the
company, we believe DBL’s profitability is likely to increase substantially
over FY15-FY17E period.
WHAT EVER YOU EARN FROM MY CALLS PLEASE GIVE 10% PROFIT'S FOOD TO COWS AND DOGS HELP THM GOD WILL HELP YOU-!!!
India has been plagued by high inflation for years. Its only since the second half of 2014, did we see inflation coming down consistently. Both the CPI and the WPI have been trending down since May 2014, the former a bit unevenly, and the latter consistently. The WPI has, in fact, been negative for six months in a row, and average wholesale inflation for the last 12 months is a 1.3%. The IIP in 2014-15 showed a modest revival over the year before (2013-14), but the industry is still struggling under an overload of past debt. Till this overload is lifted, it (i.e. the industry) cannot run faster and contribute to GDP growth. While RBI has its own sets of worries and data points to look at (like the US 10 Year Yield, CAD & Fisc situation, amongst others), right now growth is a bigger challenge than inflation and therefore the Government and the RBI needs to act fast.
WHAT EVER YOU EARN FROM MY CALLS PLEASE GIVE 10% PROFIT'S FOOD TO COWS AND DOGS HELP THM GOD WILL HELP YOU-!!!
Wednesday, 13 May 2015
Investment idea
21-05-2015 UPDATE
Short Term - Medium Term BUYs - Potential upside 8-12% in near term
WHAT EVER YOU EARN FROM MY CALLS PLEASE GIVE 10% PROFIT'S FOOD TO COWS AND DOGS HELP THM GOD WILL HELP YOU-!!!
Falling inflation and reversal in crude
prices has increased the possibility of cut in the benchmark rates in the next
Policy Meet by RBI. This is in spite of the risk of poor monsoon and pick up in
the Crude prices.
We released a list of stocks on 13th
of the month to take advantage off in both Short Term and Medium Term ahead of
the policy meet. The basket of stocks has potential to deliver a return of
8-12% in foreseeable future……REITERATE BUY
Investment Strategy- Short Term - Medium Term BUYs - Potential
upside 8-12% in near term
Initiated
Date
|
Stocks
|
Reco
Price.
|
CMP
|
%
Change
|
13-May-15
|
EICHER MOTORS LTD
|
17829
|
18425.0
|
3.3%
|
13-May-15
|
MARUTI SUZUKI INDIA LTD.
|
3621
|
3705.5
|
2.3%
|
13-May-15
|
LARSEN & TOUBRO LTD.
|
1594
|
1632.7
|
2.5%
|
13-May-15
|
SUN PHARMACEUTICALS IND.
|
957
|
980.7
|
2.5%
|
13-May-15
|
YES BANK LIMITED
|
844
|
860.2
|
1.9%
|
13-May-15
|
BLUE DART EXPRESS LTD
|
6556
|
6640.0
|
1.3%
|
13-May-15
|
GUJARAT PIPAVAV PORT LTD
|
216
|
227.0
|
5.1%
|
13-May-15
|
KANSAI NEROLAC PAINTS LTD
|
223
|
216.4
|
-3.0%
|
13-May-15
|
GABRIEL INDIA LTD
|
80
|
85.6
|
6.5%
|
|
|
Average
Return
|
2.5%
|
Short Term - Medium Term BUYs - Potential upside 8-12% in near term
Who says things @ ground
level are not improving. While there is a section of market which is struggling
on a/c of high debt/ slow govt decision making in the space in which they
operate, there is yet another group of companies which are reporting stellar
results oblivious of the things around. Lower debt or improving landscape in
the area they operate in or MOAT(Competitive Advantage) they enjoy has helped
them move from strength to strength. Suggest take advantage of current
correction and buy them for Short to Medium Term Delivery
1)
Eicher (CMP 17829.0) – RE
continues to be the main earnings driver for Eicher. In 4QFY15, its sales
volume increased by 45% YoY to 93000 units. OB remains @ 4-5 months. Next leg
of growth will be driven by international market. Towards that end has acquired
a design Co in UK. Co is developing 2 new platforms for RE (both for
global market), which will be in the range of 250-750 cc. Commercial vehicle
portfolio for Eicher continues to do well and will get further boost from
launch of Pro Series range (heavy duty trucks with 2x fuel efficiency).
Currently trading at FY16E and FY17E P/E of 28.4x and 21.9x resp.
2)
Maruti (CMP 3620.5) – Largest
passenger vehicle player in India with market share of 45%. Posted fantastic
4QFY15 results with expansion in EBITDA margin of 270 bps YoY to 15.9% (highest
in 7Y). We xpct mkt share to further increase in FY16, led by a strong model
pipeline and low competitive intensity in small cars. With the success of
Ertiga and Ciaz, Co has started gaining ground in high priced sedan segment.
Xpct domestic volumes to growth of double digit on an 8% industry growth.
Currently trading at FY16E and FY17E P/E of 20.6x and 15.8x resp.
3)
LT (CMP 1593.5) – It is
the proxy to the India’s capex cycle & best way to play the India’s
infrastructure boom. Strong BS, robust order book and easing of interest rate
cycle is likely to lead to strong earnings growth going forward. Recent defense
orders and tie-up with Areva for power further strengthen the investment case.
4)
Sun Pharma (CMP 956.5) – Sun
Pharma's strong presence in chronic space for domestic business, significant
ANDA pipeline in the US post Ranbaxy acquisition (with a pipeline of 184 ANDAs
including high-value FTFs) and robust growth in Taro sales reflected in
consistent performance and better margin and return profile. The merged entity
has become 5th largest global specialty generic pharma company, have operations
in 65 nations, 47 manufacturing facilities across 5 continents
5)
Yes Bank (CMP 844.2) – It is a
major beneficiary of fall in interest rate as it relies heavily on bulk
deposits. Besides, the bank is mobilizing strong CASA and retail deposits which
shall provide granularity and keep its cost of fund under check. Its NIM is set
to improve from 3.2% now to 3.5% by FY17E which shall support 25%+ PAT growth
for next couple of years.
6)
Blue Dart (CMP 6555.5) – Co
reported 43% growth in EBIDTA in Q4. E-Com business is expected to have growth
by 75% in Q4 taking it’s share in overall business to 25%. E-Com to be focus
area in foreseeable future. Rolling out 40 E-fulfilment centres starting Q1FY16
for E Com companies. Adding a 7th aircraft to it’s fleet. Enjoys mkt share of
53% in the air express delivery, and is a fast emerging formidable player in
the road segment (market share of 17%)
7)
GPPL (CMP 216.0) – One of
the best plays in the private port space. Coal prices have reached lows of $60
which augurs well as coal volumes are likely to catch up. Dollar has also
strengthened which is likely to boost its realizations. Ramp up in liquid
volumes will further boost the margin of the company and in turn boost
profitability
8)
Kansai (CMP 223.0) – One of
the largest paint suppliers to the Indian automotive sector. Outlook on PV
finally seems to be on the improving trend led by better consumer sentiment and
‘pent-up’ demand. The sentiments will get further boost from likely decline in
interest rates and moderation in domestic fuel prices, leading to lower cost of
ownership and cost of running the vehicle. Lower Crude prices help co report
34% growth in bottomline in Q4. Margins likely to sustain. At CMP, the company
is trading at P/E of 31.2x and 24.3x FY16E and FY17E earnings resp.
9)
Gabriel (CMP 80.4) – Part of Anand Group, is one of the major player in
Shock Absorbers & Ride Control segment. A balanced and a diversified
portfolio from segment, customer concentration, geography perspective. With
good presence in both OEM and aftermarket, Gabriel is now looking to grow its
export portfolio. At the CMP of 78, valuations are not demanding and we can
expect a decent upside
WHAT EVER YOU EARN FROM MY CALLS PLEASE GIVE 10% PROFIT'S FOOD TO COWS AND DOGS HELP THM GOD WILL HELP YOU-!!!
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)